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Getting to Know GIMF; The Simulation Properties of the Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model
Anderson, Derek; Hunt, Ben; Kortelainen, Mika; Kumhof, … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2013
The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF) is a multi-region, forward-looking, DSGE model developed by the Economic Modeling Division of the IMF for policy analysis and international economic research. Using a 5-region version of the GIMF, this paper illustrates the model’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242434
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The Great Recession and the Inflation Puzzle
Matheson, Troy; Stavrev, Emil - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2013
Notwithstanding persistently-high unemployment following the Great Recession, inflation in the United States has been … remarkably stable. We find that a traditional Phillips curve describes the behavior of inflation reasonably well since the 1960s … observed stability of inflation: inflation expectations have become better anchored and to a lower level; the slope of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790401
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Monetary Policy and Balance Sheets
Igan, Deniz; Kabundi, Alain N.; Simone, Francisco Nadal-De - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2013
This paper evaluates the strength of the balance sheet channel in the U.S. monetary policy transmission mechanism over the past three decades. Using a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression model on an expanded data set, including sectoral balance sheet variables, we show that the balance sheets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790431
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The Dynamics of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in the United States in Light of the Financial Crisis of 2007-2010
Waldo, Marco Rodriguez; Medeiros, Carlos I. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2011
This paper assesses the dynamics of the term structure of interest rates in the United States in light of the financial crisis in 2007-10. In particular, this paper assesses the dynamics of the term structure of U.S. Treasury security yields in light of economic and financial events and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019574
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Monetary Policy and Bank Risk-Taking
Dell'Ariccia, Giovanni - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2010
This paper contributes to the current debate on what role financial stability considerations should play in monetary policy decision and how best to integrate macro-prudential and monetary policy frameworks. The paper broadly supports the view that monetary policy easing induces greater...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123889
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Shock from Graying; Is the Demographic Shift Weakening Monetary Policy Effectiveness
Imam, Patrick A. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2013
impact on the economy—given better anchored inflation expectations and inflation being less responsive to variation in … Germany to confirm a weakening of monetary policy effectiveness over time with regards to unemployment and inflation. After …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242214
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On the Sources and Consequences of Oil Price Shocks; The Role of Storage
Unalmis, Deren; Unalmis, Ibrahim; Unsal, D. Filiz - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2012
Building on recent work on the role of speculation and inventories in oil markets, we embed a competitive oil storage model within a DSGE model of the U.S. economy. This enables us to formally analyze the impact of a (speculative) storage demand shock and to assess how the effects of various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242253
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Emerging Market Volatility: Lessons from The Taper Tantrum
Sahay, Ratna; Arora, Vivek B.; Arvanitis, Athanasios V; … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
volatility. And for the global community, enhanced global cooperation, including a strong global financial safety net, offers … emerging markets effective protection against excessive volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959484
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The Case for a Long-Run Inflation Target of Four Percent
Ball, Laurence M. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
Many central banks target an inflation rate near two percent. This essay argues that policymakers would do better to … target four percent inflation. A four percent target would ease the constraints on monetary policy arising from the zero … cost, because four percent inflation does not harm an economy significantly. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790372
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Impact of Demographic Changes on Inflation and the Macroeconomy
Yoon, Jong-Won; Kim, Jinill; Lee, Jungjin - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
variables move over time and analyzes how they influence macroeconomic variables such as economic growth, inflation, savings and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123847