Showing 1 - 10 of 164
VaR approach confirms a significant risk of government financial failure stemming from the volatility and comovements of … vulnerability, the volatility of sovereign spreads and of oil prices remain major sources of risk for Ecuador's public sector. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826365
options pricing. Calibration to crude oil futures' options shows high volatility of oil futures prices, fat-tailed, and right … findings support the view that demand for futures contracts by investors could lead to excessively high price volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605320
This paper describes a corporate sector vulnerability indicator, the expected number of defaults (END), based on the joint occurrence of defaults among a number of firms and/or institutions. The END indicator is general enough to assess systemic risk in the corporate and financial sectors, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264155
Sovereign risk premia in several euro area countries have risen markedly since 2008, driving up credit spreads in the private sector as well. We propose a New Keynesian model of a two-region monetary union that accounts for this “sovereign risk channel.” The model is calibrated to the euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790357
examining two widely-used indicators: sovereign credit default swap (CDS) and relative asset swap (RAS) spreads. Cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650642
This paper presents a model of a multinational firm's optimal debt policy that incorporates international taxation factors. The model yields the prediction that a multinational firm's indebtedness in a country depends on a weighted average of national tax rates and differences between national...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825596
This paper-consisting of a regional study and seven country studies-reviews the state of domestic public debt markets in Costa Rica, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, and Panama as at end-2005. Although they account for the lion's share of capital markets, regional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825635
We analyze a unique data set and uncover a remarkable result that casts a new light on the home bias phenomenon. The data are comprehensive, security-level holdings of emerging market equities by U.S. investors. We document, as expected, that at a point in time U.S. portfolios are tilted towards...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825763
This paper compares the impact of shocks to U.S. interest rates and emerging market bond spreads on domestic interest rates and exchange rates across several emerging market economies with different exchange rate regimes. Consistent with conventional priors, the results indicate that interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825800
This paper estimates bond-by-bond "haircuts"-realized investor losses-in recent debt restructurings in Russia, Ukraine, Pakistan, Ecuador, Argentina, and Uruguay. We consider both external and domestic retructurings. Haircuts are computed as the percentage difference between the present values...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825806