Kose, M. Ayhan; Otrok, Christopher; Whiteman, Charles H. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2005
This paper studies the changes in world business cycles during 1960-2003. We employ a Bayesian dynamic latent factor … globalization period (1986-2003). The results indicate that the common (G-7) factor explains a larger fraction of output …, consumption, and investment volatility in the globalization period than in the BW period. These findings suggest that the degree …