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predictions of a forward-looking model of inflation. Wealth effects of public debt could also affect inflation, as posited by the … fiscal theory of the price level, but we do not find supportive evidence. The results suggest that the risk of a debt-inflation … inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263906
of inflation. Differences between the rate of inflation and currency depreciation (over- or undershooting of the exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264134
-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly … power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …. This cautions against using money-based inflation models anchored in very long samples for policy advice. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264231
inflation. The results also suggest that a disequilibrium in the money market has a lasting impact on inflation. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825934
In the past decades, much work has been geared toward solving the problem of time inconsistency in monetary policy and analyzing the coordination problem between fiscal and monetary policy. This paper provides a review of the theoretical background to these theories, while also focusing on their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826014
money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of … contains relevant information for inflation in some model classes. Money-based New Keynesian DSGE models and VARs incorporating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826669
This paper investigates inflation dynamics in Sudan using three different approaches: the single equation model, the …-conflict country that uses these three separate techniques to understand inflation dynamics. The use of these approaches is … inflation with 18-24 months time lag. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768738
inflation. In this paper, we show that a stable money demand function for Russia can be found for "effective broad money," which … effect on short-run inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769060
sub-Saharan African countries on the relative importance of fiscal and monetary determinants of inflation. Based on the … dynamic response of inflation to different shocks, including nominal public debt, results show that a number of SSA countries … of inflation variability, as predicted by the fiscal theory of the price level. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769262
Monetary aggregates continue to play an important role in the ECB's policy strategy. This paper revisits the case for money, surveying the ongoing theoretical and empirical debate. The key conclusion is that an exclusive focus on non-monetary factors alone may leave the ECB with an incomplete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599686