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where aggregate shocks have a permanent effect on the unemployment rate. If agents' wealth decreases, the unemployment rate … increases for a potentially indefinite period. This makes unemployment rate dynamics path dependent as in Blanchard and Summers … (1987). I argue that this feature explains the persistence of the unemployment rate in the U.S. after the Great Recession …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790439
The output gap-which measures the deviation of actual output from its potential-is frequently used as an indicator of slack in an economy. This paper estimates the Finnish output gap using various empirical methods. It evaluates these methods against economic history and each other by a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825681
This Selected Issues paper assesses the youth unemployment problem in advanced European economies, especially the euro … area. Youth unemployment rates increased sharply in the euro area after the crisis. Much of these increases can be … explained by output dynamics and the greater sensitivity of youth unemployment to economic activity compared with adult …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244439
available labor. In the aftermath of the crisis, boosting growth is essential to prevent unemployment from becoming a long … unemployment rates and lower participation rates, on the other hand, cannot easily be attributed to individual preferences. Here …. Differences in labor taxation, unemployment benefit systems, and employment protection will need to be reduced. Improving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245859
Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790482
The crisis has intensified what was previously a chronic unemployment problem in Europe; youth unemployment is now at … unprecedented highs in some European countries. This paper assesses the main drivers of youth unemployment in Europe. It finds that … much of the increase in youth unemployment rates during the crisis can be explained by output dynamics and the greater …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011144606
The euro area periphery countries and the Baltic countries, which had large current account deficits in the run-up to the crisis, needed adjustment of relative prices to achieve both internal and external balances. Thus far, tangible progress has been made through lower wages and/or higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123822
The SDN will assess the youth unemployment problem in advanced European countries, with a special focus on the euro … area. It will document the main trends in youth and adult unemployment in 22 European countries before and after the global … financial crisis. It will identify the main drivers of youth and adult unemployment, focusing in particular on the role of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142224
We provide empirical evidence that deviations from uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) display significant nonlinearities, consistent with theories based on transaction costs or limits to speculation. This evidence suggests that the forward bias documented in the literature may be less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604790
policies should also help reduce the scope for further hysteresis effects to develop (e.g., loss of skills, discouragement). …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242381