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This paper examines the Progress Report for Albania’s National Strategy for Socio-Economic Development (NSSED). 2002 was the first year of implementing the NSSED. The implementation process has been oriented toward achieving the annual objectives and in accordance with the program of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005824987
We revisit the dramatic failure of monetary models in explaining exchange rate movements. Using the information content … also find fundamentalsbased models very successful in beating a random walk in out-of-sample prediction. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263651
This paper derives risk indicators for the major Chilean banks based on contingent claims analysis, an extension of Black-Scholes-Merton option-pricing theory. These risk indicators are clearly tied to macroeconomic and financial developments in Chile and outside, but bank responses are highly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264053
The paper investigates how changes in industries' funding costs affect total factor productivity (TFP) growth. Based on panel regressions using 31 U.S. and Canadian industries between 1991 and 2007, and using industries' dependence on external funding as an identification mechanism, we show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293770
models featuring Epstein-Zin preferences and affine dynamics for productivity growth and volatility. The method relies on log … several models of interest. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727787
The First Millennium Development Goal (MDG#1) is to cut the fraction of global population living on less than one dollar per day in half, by 2015. Foreign aid financed investments may contribute to the attainment of this goal. But how much can aid be reasonably expected to accomplish? A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825615
This paper develops a small open economy model where entrepreneurs partially finance investment using foreign currency denominated debt subject to a risk premium above and beyond international interest rates. We use Bayesian estimation techniques to evaluate the importance of balance sheet...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826005
This paper defines a set of banking stability measures which take account of distress dependence among the banks in a system, thereby providing a set of tools to analyze stability from complementary perspectives by allowing the measurement of (i) common distress of the banks in a system, (ii)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826223
, and show that plausible calibrations can explain reserves of the order of magnitude observed in many emerging market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826236
Emerging market financial crises are abrupt and dramatic, usually occurring after a period of high output growth, massive capital flows, and a boom in asset markets. This paper develops an equilibrium asset-pricing model with informational frictions in which vulnerability and the crisis itself...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826240