Showing 1 - 10 of 221
We estimate consumption dynamics in the G-7 economies, paying particular attention to the possibility of precautionary … consumption growth. As such, consumption in the G-7 economies is unlikely to be the engine that revives global growth. Differences … in the pace and timing of consumption moderation have implications for the evolution of global imbalances. With the U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561067
sharing comes mostly from the convergence in rates of consumption growth among countries rather than from synchronization of … consumption at the business cycle frequency. Our finding explains why many existing measures fail to detect improved risk sharing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008559272
How does access to credit impact consumption volatility? Theory and evidence from advanced economies suggests that … greater household access to finance smooths consumption. Evidence from emerging markets, where consumption is usually more … volatile than income, indicates that financial reform further increases the volatility of consumption relative to output. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790416
This paper studies the prospects for sustainable growth and economic development in Gabon, in the face of a severe decline in its main source of income and growth, i.e. oil. A simple Computable General Equilibrium model is used to simulate the development of the non-oil economy under various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605292
surpluses without a fall in consumption, capital inflows should be used to increase future output. This paper tentatively finds … following consumption booms. It also shows that many recent large current account deficits have been predominantly the result of … consumption or non-productive investment booms. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790435
This paper examines the role increasing personal wealth and home equity withdrawal (HEW) have had in the decline in the personal saving rate in the United States. It does so by comparing the U.S. experience with those of Australia, Canada, and the United Kingdom. Mortgage market liberalization...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263776
productivity; and consumption demands. In particular, the simulations reveal that variations in prospective demographic change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826103
The purpose of this paper is to examine factors that have constrained South Africa's growth since the end of apartheid by comparing its GDP components and its saving and investment performance with those of 10 faster-growing countries. The study finds that sluggish investment has undermined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826291
This paper examines the macroeconomic implications of life-cycle and dynastic saving behavior for closed and small, open economies. Using an extended version of Blanchard’s overlapping agents model, the analytical framework nests these two competing views, treating agents as either dynastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826319
Tax or debt financing of a given rate of government expenditures would, according to the now well-known Ricardian Equivalence proposition, have equivalent effects on aggregate demand. Among the reasons for a deviation from the equivalence is the possibility that the government and the private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599233