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Deciding to Enter a Monetary Union; TheRole of Trade and Financial Linkages
Lama, Ruy; Rabanal, Pau - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2012
This paper evaluates the role of trade and financial linkages in the decision to enter a monetary union. We estimate a two-country DSGE model for the U.K. economy and the euro area, and use the model to compute the welfare trade-offs from joining the euro. We evaluate two alternative scenarios....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242323
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Getting to Know GIMF; The Simulation Properties of the Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model
Anderson, Derek; Hunt, Ben; Kortelainen, Mika; Kumhof, … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2013
The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF) is a multi-region, forward-looking, DSGE model developed by the Economic Modeling Division of the IMF for policy analysis and international economic research. Using a 5-region version of the GIMF, this paper illustrates the model’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242434
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Commercial Property Price Indexes: Problems of Sparse Data, Spatial Spillovers, and Weighting
Silver, Mick; Graf, Brian - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
Transaction-price residential (house) and commercial property price indexes (RPPIs and CPPIs) have inherent problems of sparse data on heterogeneous properties, more so CPPIs. In an attempt to control for heterogeneity, (repeat-sales and hedonic) panel data regression frameworks are typically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790330
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The Great Recession and the Inflation Puzzle
Matheson, Troy; Stavrev, Emil - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2013
Notwithstanding persistently-high unemployment following the Great Recession, inflation in the United States has been … remarkably stable. We find that a traditional Phillips curve describes the behavior of inflation reasonably well since the 1960s … observed stability of inflation: inflation expectations have become better anchored and to a lower level; the slope of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790401
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Monetary Policy and Balance Sheets
Igan, Deniz; Kabundi, Alain N.; Simone, Francisco Nadal-De - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2013
This paper evaluates the strength of the balance sheet channel in the U.S. monetary policy transmission mechanism over the past three decades. Using a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression model on an expanded data set, including sectoral balance sheet variables, we show that the balance sheets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790431
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The Dynamics of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in the United States in Light of the Financial Crisis of 2007-2010
Waldo, Marco Rodriguez; Medeiros, Carlos I. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2011
This paper assesses the dynamics of the term structure of interest rates in the United States in light of the financial crisis in 2007-10. In particular, this paper assesses the dynamics of the term structure of U.S. Treasury security yields in light of economic and financial events and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019574
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Monetary Policy and Bank Risk-Taking
Dell'Ariccia, Giovanni - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2010
This paper contributes to the current debate on what role financial stability considerations should play in monetary policy decision and how best to integrate macro-prudential and monetary policy frameworks. The paper broadly supports the view that monetary policy easing induces greater...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123889
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Shock from Graying; Is the Demographic Shift Weakening Monetary Policy Effectiveness
Imam, Patrick A. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2013
impact on the economy—given better anchored inflation expectations and inflation being less responsive to variation in … Germany to confirm a weakening of monetary policy effectiveness over time with regards to unemployment and inflation. After …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242214
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On the Sources and Consequences of Oil Price Shocks; The Role of Storage
Unalmis, Deren; Unalmis, Ibrahim; Unsal, D. Filiz - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2012
Building on recent work on the role of speculation and inventories in oil markets, we embed a competitive oil storage model within a DSGE model of the U.S. economy. This enables us to formally analyze the impact of a (speculative) storage demand shock and to assess how the effects of various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242253
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A Phillips Curve with Anchored Expectations and Short-Term Unemployment
Ball, Laurence M.; Mazumder, Sandeep - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2015
This paper examines the recent behavior of core inflation in the United States. We specify a simple Phillips curve … based on the assumptions that inflation expectations are fully anchored at the Federal Reserve’s target, and that labor …-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242402