Showing 1 - 10 of 881
Many estimates of early-warning-system (EWS) models of currency crisis have reported incorrect standard errors because of serial correlation in the context of panel probit regressions. This paper documents the magnitude of the problem, proposes and tests a solution, and applies it to previously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768958
This paper analyzes empirically the recent Asian financial crisis using high frequency data of exchange rates and stock indices of the Philippines and Thailand. Utilizing standard time-series techniques, this study confirms that there is evidence that developments in some sectoral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263754
14 developing and industrial countries. The results show that contagion was systemic during the period, with industrial … importance of studying them jointly. An implication of the empirical results is that models of contagion that exclude industrial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769188
In this paper potential financial linkages between liquidity and bank solvency measures in advanced economies and emerging market (EM) bond and stock markets are analyzedduring the latest crisis. A multivariate GARCH model is estimated in order to gauge the extent of co-movements of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528671
This paper proposes a stochastic volatility model to measure sovereign financial distress. It examines how key European … sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads affect each other; specifically, the paper analyses the volatility structure of … explaining each other’s volatility while Germany also plays an important role. It is found that extreme bad news led to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142190
This paper presents background work that has been the basis for the development of the market and credit risk indicators (MRI and CRI, respectively) as published in the IMF's Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR) since September 2004. The fundamental idea was to build a set of Financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264101
In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discussions with government officials, is published at the option of the member country.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245540
methodology to estimate these two channels of spillovers. We first propose an index of a firm's sensitivity to consumer demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264107
volatility risks), contagion effects, and idiosyncratic factors. While idiosyncratic factors explain a large amount of the …. The relative importance of the different risk factors changes substantially depending on the crisis episode. Contagion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769174
This paper analyzes the impact of global and regional spillovers to GCC equity markets. GCC equity markets were … impacted by spillovers from U.S. equity markets despite varying degrees of foreign participation. Spillovers from regional …. The results also illustrated episodes of contagion in particular during the recent global financial crisis. The findings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009151201