Showing 1 - 10 of 103
The notable rebound of U.S. manufacturing activity following the Great Recession has raised the question of whether the sector might be experiencing a renaissance. Using panel regressions, we find that a depreciating real exchange rate, an increasing spread in natural gas prices between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790239
-relative labor demand shocks. We find that (i) the long-run effect of a state-specific shock on the state employment level has … a set of 21 European countries, we show that while the short-term response of participation rates to labor demand shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790322
By constructing and estimating a structural arbitrage-free model of demand pressures on US real rates, we find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790349
demand shock and to assess how the effects of various demand and supply shocks change in the presence of oil storage facility …. We find that business-cycle driven oil demand shocks are the most important drivers of U.S. oil price fluctuations during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242253
After a short-lived slowdown in the immediate aftermath of the global financial crisis and a swift rebound, emerging markets (EM) are now entering a period of slower growth. In fact, growth is now lower than the post-crisis peak of 2010-11, as well as the rates seen in the decade before the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010878427
The need to revive Euro area growth highlights the importance of the evolution of domestic and external demand in the … core. This paper puts recent demand patterns in France, Germany, and Belgium into historical perspective. We find that …-specific factors matter in some cases, demand patterns in these countries are largely driven by common determinants. Third …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959463
dependent on external demand from the rest of world. Current account adjustments have taken place, reflecting structural changes … ahead, relying only on relative price adjustments (which adversely affects demand) to rebalance the euro area could prove …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959477
This staff report on People’s Republic of China 2013 Article IV Consultation highlights macroeconomic developments and outlook. China has maintained robust growth since the global crisis, but the heavy reliance on credit and investment to sustain activity is raising vulnerabilities. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244201
rotation back to domestic demand-led growth, the current account deficit is widening again, while inflation remains above …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244217
The staff reports for the 2013 Article IV Consultation on the Chile discuss the strong and inclusive growth over the medium term. Technocratic, rules-based, and transparent policy management; monetary policy under a floating exchange rate undertaken by a credible central bank; and prudent fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244359