Showing 1 - 10 of 204
Now close to 50 percent of GDP, this paper assesses the appropriateness of China’s current investment levels. It … stand out, partly due to a surge in investment over the last decade. Moreover, its investment is significantly higher than …. However, because its investment is predominantly financed by domestic savings, a crisis appears unlikely when assessed against …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142176
Over the past decade, China’s growth model has become more reliant on investment and its footprint in global imports … has widened substantially. Several economies within China’s supply chain are increasingly exposed to its investment …-led growth and face growing risks from a deceleration in investment in China. This note quantifies potential global spillovers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242248
In the spirit of what is known as business cycle accounting, this paper finds that the investment wedge-the gap between … investment wedge. In the case of China, nonperforming loans, borrowing constraints, and uncertainty over changes in government … investment. In the case of India, post-1992 financial sector reforms, particularly the reduction in the funds preempted by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826386
This paper examines how durable goods and financial frictions shape the business cycle of a small open economy subject … than previously documented. Financial frictions improve the ability of the model to match some key business cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009151224
This paper studies the linkage between structural coherence and economic growth. Structural coherence is defined as the degree that a country's industrial structure optimally reflects its factor endowment fundamentals. The paper found that at least for the overall capital, the shares of capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010878416
and investment high. It finds that the low cost of capital has been quantitatively an important factor. Theory predicts … China is to rebalance growth towards relying more on consumption and less on exports and investment, banking sector reforms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769167
We study the role of uncertainty shocks in explaining unemployment dynamics, separating out the role of aggregate and sectoral channels. Using S&P500 data from the first quarter of 1957 to third quarter of 2014, we construct separate indices to measure aggregate and sectoral uncertainty and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242392
This paper does two things. First, it articulates what are the main implications of theoretical and empirical research for design of labor market policies and labor market institutions. Second, in this light, the paper analyzes the IMF’s labor market recommendations since the beginning of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790488
This paper provides an assessment of the consistency of unemployment and output forecasts. We show that, consistent with Okun’s Law, forecasts of real GDP growth and the change in unemployment are negatively correlated. The Okun coefficient—the responsiveness of unemployment to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142185
Investment across the euro area remains below its pre-crisis level. Its performance has been weaker than in most …, corporate leverage, and uncertainty. There is a considerable cross country heterogeneity in terms of both investment dymanics … and its determinants. Based on the findings of this paper, investment is expected to pick up as the recovery strengthens …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242193