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This 2014 Article IV Consultation highlights that economic growth in Spain has resumed, and unemployment is falling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244914
international experience of countries in the aftermath of financial crisis. The paper suggests Spain is likely to face a long period … of moderate growth (about 1½–2 percent) and high unemployment, but policy action—especially that directed toward … reducing structural unemployment and raising productivity—could lead to much better outcomes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245853
that ended with the global financial crisis. Unemployment soared, the fiscal position deteriorated sharply, and funding … the last seven quarters, unemployment has reached high levels, and financing conditions remain tight for small firms. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242476
Italy’s deep-rooted structural problems resulted in an unsatisfactory productivity performance and a dismal growth over the last 15 years. The global financial crisis has exacerbated these long-standing weaknesses, taking a heavy toll on Italy’s economy. With output back to its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727814
This Selected Issues paper analyzes the growth prospects of the Greek economy. It is estimated that exceptional factors boosted growth by 1 percentage point per year in recent years and, under current trends and policies, growth is likely to drop to about 3 percent by the end of the decade. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825203
This paper estimates potential output and the output gap for Slovakia which enjoyed rapid growth with few signs of economic overheating in recent years. It applies two broad sets of approaches: conventional methods, represented by a statistical method and a production function approach; and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826202
Sweden represents an archetypal welfare state economy, with extensive government safety nets. Some scholars have attributed a decline in its per capita income ranking since 1970 to "eurosclerosis" or sluggish growth caused by distortionary policies. This paper argues rather, that the permanent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605036
Using unobserved stochastic components and Kalman filter techniques, the paper assesses the relative importance of transitory and permanent shifts in Italian real GDP within a production function framework. Evidence suggests that the increase in hours worked that has accompanied pension and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605077
The crisis has intensified what was previously a chronic unemployment problem in Europe; youth unemployment is now at … unprecedented highs in some European countries. This paper assesses the main drivers of youth unemployment in Europe. It finds that … much of the increase in youth unemployment rates during the crisis can be explained by output dynamics and the greater …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011144606
Traditionally, shocks to total factor productivity (TFP) are considered exogenous and the employment response depends on their effect on aggregate demand. We raise the possibility that in response to labor supply shocks firms adjust efficiency, rendering TFP endogenous to firms’ production...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242298