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Global Poverty Estimates; A Sensitivity Analysis
Minoiu, Camelia; Dhongde, Shatakshee - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2011
Current estimates of global poverty vary substantially across studies. In this paper we undertake a novel sensitivity analysis to highlight the importance of methodological choices in estimating global poverty. We measure global poverty using different data sources, parametric and nonparametric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369432
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Government Size and Intersectoral Income Fluctuation; An International Panel Analysis
Kim, Daehaeng; Lee, Chul-In - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2007
Using the between-sector variation in income as a new measure of economic uncertainty, this paper proposes simple models and supportive empirical evidence for the causal relations between economic uncertainty and government size in the open economy setting. Key empirical findings include: (1) a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769139
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Redistribution, Inequality, and Growth
Ostry, Jonathan David; Berg, Andrew; Tsangarides, … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
the previous SDN on inequality and growth by focusing on the role of redistribution. It finds that, from the perspective … of the best available macroeconomic data, there is not a lot of evidence that redistribution has in fact undercut … is a big tradeoff between redistribution and growth. The best available macroeconomic data do not support such a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142220
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Solow Versus Harrod-Domar; Reexamining the Aid Costs of the First Millennium Development Goal
Dalgaard, Carl-Johan; Erickson, Lennart - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006
The First Millennium Development Goal (MDG#1) is to cut the fraction of global population living on less than one dollar per day in half, by 2015. Foreign aid financed investments may contribute to the attainment of this goal. But how much can aid be reasonably expected to accomplish? A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825615
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Portfolio Choice in a Monetary Open-Economy DSGE Model
Matsumoto, Akito; Engel, Charles - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2005
This paper develops a two-country monetary DSGE (dynamic stochastic general equilibrium) model in which households choose a portfolio of home and foreign equities, and a forward position in foreign exchange. Some goods prices are set without full information of the state. Home and foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825960
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A New Framework to Estimate the Risk-Neutral Probability Density Functions Embedded in Options Prices
Cheng, Kevin C. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2010
Building on the widely-used double-lognormal approach by Bahra (1997), this paper presents a multi-lognormal approach with restrictions to extract risk-neutral probability density functions (RNPs) for various asset classes. The contributions are twofold: first, on the technical side, the paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646431
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Operational Risk; The Sting is Still in the Tail But the Poison Dependson the Dose
Jobst, Andreas - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2007
This paper investigates the generalized parametric measurement methods of aggregate operational risk in compliance with the regulatory capital standards for operational risk in the New Basel Capital Accord ("Basel II"). Operational risk is commonly defined as the risk of loss resulting from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768778
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The Option-Ipod. the Probability of Default Implied by Option Prices Basedon Entropy
Capuano, Christian - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2008
We present a framework to derive the probability of default implied by the price of equity options. The framework does not require any strong statistical assumption, and provide results that are informative on the expected developments of balance sheet variables, such as assets, equity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599478
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Deriving Market Expectations for the Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate From Option Prices
Krichene, Noureddine - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2004
Option prices provide valuable information on market expectations. This paper attempts to extract market expectations, as conveyed by an implied risk-neutral probability distribution, from option prices for the dollar-euro exchange rate. Returns' volatilities are inferred from observed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605330
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Identifying Constraints to Financial Inclusion and Their Impact on GDP and Inequality: A Structural Framework for Policy
Dabla-Norris, Era; Ji, Yan; Townsend, Robert; Unsal, D. … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2015
We develop a micro-founded general equilibrium model with heterogeneous agents to identify pertinent constraints to financial inclusion. We evaluate quantitatively the policy impacts of relaxing each of these constraints separately, and in combination, on GDP and inequality. We focus on three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011163128