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This staff report on People’s Republic of China 2013 Article IV Consultation highlights macroeconomic developments and outlook. China has maintained robust growth since the global crisis, but the heavy reliance on credit and investment to sustain activity is raising vulnerabilities. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244201
This paper studies the factors behind pro-cyclical but widely varying construction shares (as a percent of GDP) across countries, with a strong focus on European countries. Using a dataset covering 48 countries (including advanced and emerging economies within and outside Europe) for 1990-2011,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790411
floods, with real GDP growing by 6.5 percent. Private consumption rose 6.7 percent, reflecting pent-up demand and government … investment grew by 14.4 percent. With growth driven by domestic demand, the current account surplus is expected to reach a small …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243217
Although Sweden has recovered from the financial crisis, authorities have already initiated exit measures from crisis response policies. The Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) Update undertook a financial stability analysis of the banking sector, including a comprehensive stress-testing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244366
cooperative banks in Cyprus. Credit risk appears as the main source of risk in the banking sector, with demand for real estate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245527
and amplifying the capital flow shocks to the local economy in the 1997 Asia financial crisis. It finds that a sudden stop …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768845
This paper attempts to identify the indicators that can demonstrate the vulnerabilities in systemically important financial institutions. The paper finds that (i) indicators on leverage, liquidity, and business scope can help identify the differences between the intervened and non-intervened...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009147321
According to a dynamic panel estimated over 1995 - 2008 on around 80 banks in the GCC region, the NPL ratio worsens as economic growth becomes lower and interest rates and risk aversion increase. Our model implies that the cumulative effect of macroeconomic shocks over a three year horizon is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008680279
This paper analyses the effect of asset prices on credit growth in France and tries to disentangle credit demand and … during periods of financial instability only, even after controlling for credit demand effects. These results show that … credit demand factors do play a large role but also provide evidence of tighter credit constraints on households in financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242234
This Selected Issues paper for the Philippines has been prepared by a staff team of the International Monetary Fund as background documentation for the periodic consultation with the member country. Spillovers have been particularly prominent for countries with financial systems with high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243175