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The 2007 Article IV Consultation on the United Arab Emirates (UAE) examines the near- and medium-term outlook, inflation, and fiscal policy. The rapid expansion is supported by an outward-oriented development strategy and sustained high oil prices. Reforms are under way to strengthen the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244422
The Euro Area Policies’ 2007 Article IV Consultation reports that the economy is poised for a sustained upswing because of cyclical considerations and policies, which have had a forward-looking cast. The area’s external position and the real effective exchange rate of the euro are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245374
The purpose of this paper is to present a model that circumvents the requirement of explicitly setting a period in which the fiscal budget is to be balanced, yet implies that increases in the growth of public debt are bound to increase inflation when there is no perceived commitment to reduce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263970
This paper takes stock of the evolution of the international monetary system over the last thousand years. Several points stand out from the analysis. One is the reluctance of governments to embrace radical changes in international monetary relations. Another is the conflict between external and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264089
Through the profiling of institutional cash pools, this paper explains the rise of the "shadow" banking system from a demand-side perspective. Explaining the rise of shadow banking from this angle paints a very different picture than the supply-side angle that views it as a story of banks'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293767
Sudanese inflation dramatically fell in 2000. But just prior to the sharp decline, an export ban was placed on Sudanese livestock. Motivated by this clue, and in the absence of any reliable income or employment data, this paper systematically develops simultaneous models of the consumer price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825891
This Selected Issues paper for euro area policies analyzes the product market regulation and benefits of wage moderation. The paper identifies structural shifts in the relationship between wages and unemployment rates—a “wage curveâ€â€”in 20 industrial countries. It reviews...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005591480
can be analyzed as a credibility problem if the government has only one policy instrument, money supply carried out by … solve the credibility problem. They involve printing money or nominal debt and either (1) cutting taxes, (2) buying real … these policy instruments. It commits to higher money supply in the future so that the private sector expects inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599394
money, surveying the ongoing theoretical and empirical debate. The key conclusion is that an exclusive focus on non … policy decisions by providing a clearer narrative of the relative role of money in the interaction with other economic and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599686
Dollarization in financial intermediation has exhibited a widely diverse pattern across countries. Empirical work relating it to macroeconomic variables has had only limited success in explaining the phenomenon. This paper presents a two-currency banking model to show that deposit and loan...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604809