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Output gap estimates are subject to a wide range of uncertainty owing to data revisions and the difficulty in distinguishing between cycle and trend in real time. This is important given the central role in monetary policy of assessments of economic activity relative to capacity. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011163120
-than-expected growth in China represents a key downside risk. The results caution against trying to offset the current economic slowdown …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142049
We examine corporate sector vulnerabilities in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru. First, we identify stylized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242251
This Selected Issues paper for Chile describes the postcrisis recovery experience. The recovery from the 2008–2009 … wedge-distortions related to the consumption leisure decision helped support the recovery. In Chile, the growth generated by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243850
This paper investigates the empirical characteristics of income inequality in China and a panel of BRIC+ countries over …€”an inverted Ushaped relationship between income inequality and economic development—in China and the panel of BRIC+ countries …. In the case of China, the empirical results indicate that government spending and taxation have opposing effects on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242236
Technological progress in the exploration and production of oil and gas during the 2000s has led to a boom in upstream investment and has increased the domestic supply of fossil fuels. It is unknown, however, how many jobs this boom has created. We use time-series methods at the national level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242259
the commodity boom; and (iii) although further reliance on commodities has increased Indonesia’s vulnerability to export … price volatility, the terms of trade have actually been rather stable as import and export prices co-move markedly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244143
This 2013 Article IV Consultation highlights that Peru’s economy continues to be a leader in high growth and low inflation in the region, which has been achieved through a prudent macroeconomic policy implementation, a far-reaching structural reform agenda and taking advantage of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245344
This Selected Issues paper examines application of fiscal framework alternatives to the case of Peru. Although growth … has been at historical highs over the last decade, Peru still has an important infrastructure gap and a quarter of its … case of Peru. It takes stock of analytical considerations to resource management, and analyzes Peru’s natural resource …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244249
This paper quantifies the effects of external risks for Peru, with particular attention to two major external risks … and partially dollarized economy is developed and estimated for Peru to measure the risk spillovers, and simulate domestic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142105