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Monetary Policy Transmission in the GCC Countries
Prasad, Ananthakrishnan; Espinoza, Raphael A. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2012
The GCC countries maintain a policy of open capital accounts and a pegged (or nearly-pegged) exchange rate, thereby reducing their freedom to run an independent monetary policy. This paper shows, however, that the pass-through of policy rates to retail rates is on the low side, reflecting the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010878414
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Macroeconomic Implications of Financial Dollarization; The Case of Uruguay
Gelos, Gaston; Mejía, Alejandro López; Piñón-Farah, … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2008
Uruguay has experienced a remarkable recovery since the 2002 crisis, supported by sound policies and favorable external conditions. With the framework put in place in 2002, Uruguay abandoned an exchange rate peg in favor of a free float, adoped a monetary regime initially based on money targets,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245904
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Monetary Policy Implementation at Different Stages of Market Development
Laurens, Bernard - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2005
The most salient trend in monetary policy over the past two decades has been increasing reliance on money market operations, which reflects the belief that allowing market forces to allocate financial resources brings about increased economic efficiency and growth. However, small economies and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005252522
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International Policy Coordination and Simple Monetary Policy Rules
Berger, Wolfram; Wagner, Helmut - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006
This paper studies the optimal design of monetary policy in an optimizing two-country sticky price model. We suppose that the production sequence of final consumption goods stretches across both countries and is associated with vertical trade. Prices of final consumption goods are sticky in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264091
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Does Money Growth Granger-Cause Inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence From Out-Of-Sample Forecasts Using Bayesian Vars
Österholm, Pär; Berger, Helge - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2008
We use a mean-adjusted Bayesian VAR model as an out-of-sample forecasting tool to test whether money growth Granger-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly strong evidence that including money...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264231
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What Explains Persistent Inflation Differentials Across Transition Economies?
Flanagan, Mark J; Hammermann, Felix - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2007
Panel estimates based on 19 transition economies suggests that some central banks may aim at comparatively high inflation rates mainly to make up for, and to perhaps exploit, lagging internal and external liberalization in their economies. Out-of-sample forecasts, based on expected developments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264235
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Communication of Central Bank Thinking and Inflation Dynamics
Tang, Man-Keung; Yu, Xiangrong - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2011
This paper studies the role of central bank communication of its economic assessment in shaping inflation dynamics. Imperfect information about the central bank's assessment - or the basis for monetary policy decisions - could complicate the private sector's learning about its policy response...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293777
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Inflation Dynamics in the CEMAC Region
Poplawski-Ribeiro, Marcos; Tartari, Darlena; Caceres, Carlos - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2011
This paper analyses inflation dynamics in the Central African Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC) using a constructed dataset for country-specific commodity price indices and panel cointegrated vector autoregressive (VAR) models. Imported commodity price shocks are significant in explaining...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369448
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Bayesian Vars; A Survey of the Recent Literature with An Application to the European Monetary System
Ciccarelli, Matteo; Rebucci, Alessandro - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2003
This paper reviews recent advances in the specification and estimation of Bayesian Vector Autoregressive models (BVARs …). After describing the Bayesian principle of estimation, we first present the methodology originally developed by Litterman … issues in forecasting and structural analysis. An application to the estimation of a system of time-varying reaction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825693
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Can a Rule-Based Monetary Policy Framework Work in a Developing Country? the Case of Yemen
Elekdag, Selim; Ltaifa, Nabil Ben; Schneider, Todd; … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2007
Monetary policy in Yemen is largely rudimentary and ad hoc in nature. The Central Bank of Yemen's (CBY) approach has been based on discretionary targeting of broad money without any clear target to anchor inflation expectations. This paper argues in favor of a new formal monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825743