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that some types of investment are becoming excessive in China, particularly in inland provinces. In these regions, private … existing trends continue, valuable resources could be wasted at a time when China’s ability to finance investment is facing … to that in manufacturing and real estate. Financial reform would facilitate such a reorientation, helping China to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242435
This paper presents some facts on China’s role in the world economy and measures the impact of China’s growth on growth in the rest of the world in the short and long term. Short-run estimates based on VARs and error-correction models suggest that spillover effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008560430
Consumption in China is unusually low and has continued to decline as a share of GDP over the past decade. A key policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561091
This Selected Issues paper analyses the impact that rising energy import prices might have on growth and inflation in Ukraine. The paper examines how rising gas prices might elevate macrofiscal risks in Ukraine’s state enterprise sector. It assesses Ukraine’s equilibrium exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245611
econometric analysis. In this study, the policy challenges for Australia from rebalancing in China, a temporary growth slowdown in … China, and a recession in advanced countries are analyzed. The Globally Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model (GIMF) is used …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245841
This paper focuses on two central issues related to the contrasting experiences of Malaysia and Pakistan regarding poverty reduction. First, it examines the structure of economic growth and its proximate determinants in the two countries, including the initial conditions, institutional changes,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248163
This Selected Issues paper studies Luxembourg’s economic growth performance of the past two decades with a view to shedding light on the growth prospects and fiscal implications. The paper investigates whether the recent weakness in activity is largely transitory or whether it heralds a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005252699
This paper analyzes factors that determine recent economic growth in the low-income countries of the Commonwealth of Independent States.2 The main findings are as follows: (1) productivity gains in export-oriented sectors and expansion of exports may have become the main sources of growth in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263670
We develop a simple macroeconomic model that assesses the effects of higher foreign aid on output growth and other macroeconomic variables, including the real exchange rate. The model is easily tractable and requires estimation of only a few basic parameters. It takes into account the impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263767
This paper tests the association between the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries' financial and remittance outflows and regional growth in the Middle East. The findings, based on 35-year panel data, indicate that growth rates of real GDP, private consumption and private investment in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263780