Showing 1 - 10 of 184
This paper studies the factors behind pro-cyclical but widely varying construction shares (as a percent of GDP) across countries, with a strong focus on European countries. Using a dataset covering 48 countries (including advanced and emerging economies within and outside Europe) for 1990-2011,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790411
The notable rebound of U.S. manufacturing activity following the Great Recession has raised the question of whether the … labor costs have had a positive impact on U.S. manufacturing production. While we find it unlikely for manufacturing to … become a main engine of growth in the United States, we find that U.S. manufacturing exports could provide nonnegligible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790239
We examine patterns of regional adjustments to shocks in the US during the past 40 years. Using state-level data, we …-relative labor demand shocks. We find that (i) the long-run effect of a state-specific shock on the state employment level has … a set of 21 European countries, we show that while the short-term response of participation rates to labor demand shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790322
By constructing and estimating a structural arbitrage-free model of demand pressures on US real rates, we find that … recent purchases of US government debt securities by the Fed and foreign officials have significantly affected the level and … the dynamics of US real rates. In particular, by 2008, foreign purchases of US Treasuries are estimated to have had …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790349
. We find that business-cycle driven oil demand shocks are the most important drivers of U.S. oil price fluctuations during … model within a DSGE model of the U.S. economy. This enables us to formally analyze the impact of a (speculative) storage … demand shock and to assess how the effects of various demand and supply shocks change in the presence of oil storage facility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242253
view that monetary policy easing induces greater risk-taking by banks but also shows that the relationship between real … interest rates and banking risk is more complex. Ultimately, it depends on how much skin in the game banks have. The central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123889
We present evidence of a risk-taking channel of monetary policy for the U.S. banking system. We use confidential data … on the internal ratings of U.S. banks on loans to businesses over the period 1997 to 2011 from the Federal Reserve …’s survey of terms of business lending. We find that ex-ante risk taking by banks (as measured by the risk rating of the bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242177
tourism for a number of PICs. Moreover, if a strong two-way linkage is established between tourism and agriculture, Pacific …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959471
This Selected Issues paper analyzes sustaining potential growth in Aruba. As in the other Caribbean countries, there are growing concerns in Aruba about the slowdown in economic growth over the past two decades and the consequent tepid outlook for potential growth. Tackling such concerns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245149
After a short-lived slowdown in the immediate aftermath of the global financial crisis and a swift rebound, emerging markets (EM) are now entering a period of slower growth. In fact, growth is now lower than the post-crisis peak of 2010-11, as well as the rates seen in the decade before the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010878427