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The synchronized disinflation across Europe since end-2011 raises the question of whether non-euro area EU countries … are affected by the undershooting of the euro area inflation target. To shed light on this issue, we estimate an open …-economy, New Keynsian Phillips curve, in which we control for imported inflation. Regression results suggest that falling food and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959481
weaker linkages bewteen inflation and real credit growth within Europe. While the euro area is the dominant source of … countries with the advanced Europe countries. The results show strong co-movements in output growth and interest rates but … small but notable impact of CESEE countries on the rest of the Europe. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242313
inflation, unemployment, government deficit, and GDP growth into a single indicator. In contrast to other indexes, the EPI does …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010990724
The staff report for the 2006 Article IV Consultation on Botswana highlights economic developments and monetary and exchange rate policy. Botswana’s growth has been fueled by continued increases in diamond production; and real diamond output is projected to level off, and then decline...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244994
Estonia has succeeded in reducing its macroeconomic imbalances and vulnerabilities, but faces the challenge of preserving its hard-earned fiscal and financial stability and enhancing long-term growth prospects. In this regard, adopting a fully fledged medium-term fiscal framework can help assess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245026
This paper on Romania was prepared by a staff team of the International Monetary Fund as background documentation for the periodic consultation with the member country. It is based on the information available at the time it was completed on September 13, 2012. The views expressed in this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245066
China’s transformation into a dynamic private-sector-led economy and its integration into the world economy have been among the most dramatic global economic developments of recent decades. This paper provides an overview of some of the key aspects of recent developments in China’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005252521
This Selected Issues paper for South Africa presents a quantitative analysis of inflation dynamics in the country. The … inflation. Exposed to exchange rate and other shocks, the model confirms that a delayed policy response to inflation shocks … leads to persistently higher inflation rates and, subsequently, to a sharp real contraction of the economy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005252771
inflation-unemployment process. The results provide some evidence in favor of the Lucas critique by showing that the short …-run unemployment-inflation trade-off tends to improve in countries that are successful in providing low and stable inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263831
relates average unemployment to average wage inflation; the curve is virtually vertical for high inflation rates but becomes …, at low inflation. Fourth, when inflation decreases, volatility of unemployment increases whereas the volatility of … inflation decreases: this implies a long-run trade-off also between the volatility of unemployment and that of wage inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825999