Showing 1 - 10 of 1,575
Notwithstanding persistently-high unemployment following the Great Recession, inflation in the United States has been … remarkably stable. We find that a traditional Phillips curve describes the behavior of inflation reasonably well since the 1960s … observed stability of inflation: inflation expectations have become better anchored and to a lower level; the slope of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790401
that India's inflation is highly inertial and persistent. Due to second-round effects, the gap between headline inflation …Indian food and fuel inflation has remained high for several years, and second-round effects on core inflation are … model of the Indian economy, which incorporates pass-through from headline inflation to core inflation. The results indicate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959475
. Inflation is constraining the room for monetary policy easing. Banks’ capital ratios have fallen slightly, but asset quality … structural reforms, fiscal consolidation, and low inflation are critical for a sustained recovery. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242869
in terms of the sectoral savings-investment balance. Persistently high inflation is found to have depressed real returns … outward spillovers to and from India. The results show that output shocks emanating in globally systemic countries have … important global effects, but their impact on India is limited. It is found that shocks originating in India have relatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243777
This paper examines the recent behavior of core inflation in the United States. We specify a simple Phillips curve … based on the assumptions that inflation expectations are fully anchored at the Federal Reserve’s target, and that labor …-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242402
, there is a negative long-run relationship between inflation and economic growth in India. We also find statistically …This paper examines the long-run relationship between consumer price index industrial workers (CPI-IW) inflation and … GDP growth in India. We collect data on a sample of 14 Indian states over the period 1989–2013, and use the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142122
Many central banks target an inflation rate near two percent. This essay argues that policymakers would do better to … target four percent inflation. A four percent target would ease the constraints on monetary policy arising from the zero … cost, because four percent inflation does not harm an economy significantly. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790372
variables move over time and analyzes how they influence macroeconomic variables such as economic growth, inflation, savings and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123847
The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF) is a multi-region, forward-looking, DSGE model developed by the Economic Modeling Division of the IMF for policy analysis and international economic research. Using a 5-region version of the GIMF, this paper illustrates the model’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242434
This Selected Issues paper estimates both Guatemala’s potential output and output gap using a wide range of econometric techniques. The analysis suggests that Guatemala’s potential output growth is about 3.5 percent for the whole sample period and that the output gap is almost...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243930