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Chronicle of a Decline Foretold; Has China Reached the Lewis Turning Point?
Das, Mitali; N'Diaye, Papa M - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2013
China is on the eve of a demographic shift that will have profound consequences on its economic and social landscape. Within a few years the working age population will reach a historical peak, and then begin a precipitous decline. This fact, along with anecdotes of rapidly rising migrant wages...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242230
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Why Are Women Working so Much More in Canada? An International Perspective
Tsounta, Evridiki - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006
This paper analyzes the role of the tax and benefit system in spurring the impressive increase in Canadian female labor participation in the last decade. Using annual panel data for 10 large industrial countries over the period 1980-2001, I find that reforms in the Canadian tax and benefit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826383
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Reforming Labor and Product Markets; Some Lessons From Two Decades of Experiments in Europe
Boeri, Tito - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2005
This paper evaluates European structural reforms over the last 20 years, in light of economic theory predictions about … flexibility with state-provided unemployment insurance and can be applied only to new entrants in the market without affecting the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826643
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Italy; Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2011
Based on the economic literature, various policy measures and institutions in the product and labor markets that increase growth and employment are studied. From a cross-country approach, this study finds a significant relationship between Vertical Fiscal Imbalances (VFIs) and fiscal performance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244125
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Recent U.S. Labor Force Dynamics: Reversible or not?
Balakrishnan, Ravi; Dao, Mai; Sole, Juan; Zook, Jeremy - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2015
The U.S. labor force participation rate (LFPR) fell dramatically following the Great Recession and has yet to start recovering. A key question is how much of the post-2007 decline is reversible, something which is central to the policy debate. The key finding of this paper is that while around...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242381
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Uncertainty and Unemployment: The Effects of Aggregate and Sectoral Channels
Choi, Sangyup; Loungani, Prakash - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2015
We study the role of uncertainty shocks in explaining unemployment dynamics, separating out the role of aggregate and … measure aggregate and sectoral uncertainty and compare their effects on the unemployment rate in a standard macroeconomic … vector autoregressive (VAR) model. We find that aggregate uncertainty leads to an immediate increase in unemployment, with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242392
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Informal Labour and Credit Markets: A Survey
Levine, Paul; Lotti, Emanuela; Batini, Nicoletta; Kim, … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2010
This paper reviews the literature on the informal economy, focusing first on empirical findings and then on existing approaches to modeling informality within both partial and general equilibrium environments. We concentrate on labour and credit markets, since these tend to be most affected by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008519512
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Tests of German Resilience
Bornhorst, Fabian; Mody, Ashoka - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2012
From its early post-war catch-up phase, Germany’s formidable export engine has been its consistent driver of growth. But Germany has almost equally consistently run current account surpluses. Exports have powered the dynamic phases and helped emerge from stagnation. Volatile external...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142028
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Medium-Term Fiscal Multipliers during Protracted Recessions
Dell'Erba, Salvatore; Poplawski-Ribeiro, Marcos; … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
The paper examines the consequences of fiscal consolidation in times of persistently low growth and high unemployment … unemployment at five-year horizons are significantly above one during PR episodes. These results suggest that medium-term fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142040
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Potential Growth in Emerging Asia
Anand, Rahul; Cheng, Kevin C.; Rehman, Sidra; Zhang, Longmei - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
Using three distinct approaches—statistical filtering, production function, and multivariate model— this paper estimates potential growth for China, India, and five ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam) during 1993–2013. The main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142066