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weaker linkages bewteen inflation and real credit growth within Europe. While the euro area is the dominant source of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242313
This paper evaluates the role of trade and financial linkages in the decision to enter a monetary union. We estimate a two-country DSGE model for the U.K. economy and the euro area, and use the model to compute the welfare trade-offs from joining the euro. We evaluate two alternative scenarios....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242323
This paper discusses comovement between inflation and output in the euro area. The strength of the comovement may not … frequency, the output and core inflation comovement is high and stable, and that inflation lags the cycle in output with roughly … half of its variance. The strong relationship of output and inflation hints at the importance of demand shocks for the euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242325
This 2014 Article IV Consultation highlights that the euro area recovery is taking hold. Real output has expanded for four consecutive quarters, and financial market sentiment has improved markedly. Complementary policy actions have supported demand, boosted investor confidence, and eased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243699
Given the backdrop of pressing infrastructure needs, this paper argues that higher German public investment would not only stimulate domestic demand in the near term and reduce the current account surplus, but would also raise output over the longer-run as well as generate beneficial regional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123846
Unconventional monetary policy is often assumed to benefit banks. However, we find little supporting evidence. Rather, we find some evidence for heightened medium-term risks. First, in an event study using a novel instrument for monetary policy surprises, we do not detect clear effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142163
The monetary transmission mechanism in the euro area has been adversely affected by the recent crises. Using survey data on thousands of euro area firms, we study factors that affect the access to finance of SMEs. We find that changes in bank funding costs and borrower leverage matter for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142188
are affected by the undershooting of the euro area inflation target. To shed light on this issue, we estimate an open …-economy, New Keynsian Phillips curve, in which we control for imported inflation. Regression results suggest that falling food and … energy prices have been the main disinflationary driver. But low core inflation in the euro area has also had a clear and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959481
This Selected Issues paper focuses on sustainability of public finances and low inflation in Lithuania. Lithuania aims … to adopt the euro in 2015. Over the medium term, inflation in Lithuania will likely run somewhat higher than in the euro … area on average, but this will be driven by continuing income convergence. The long-term inflation track record is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244839
Many central banks target an inflation rate near two percent. This essay argues that policymakers would do better to … target four percent inflation. A four percent target would ease the constraints on monetary policy arising from the zero … cost, because four percent inflation does not harm an economy significantly. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790372