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We offer a novel methodology for assessing the quality of inflation reports. In contrast to the existing literature, which mostly evaluates the formal quality of these reports, we evaluate their economic content by comparing inflation factors reported by the central banks with ex-post...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142061
This paper presents an empirical measure of disinflation credibility and discusses its evolution in Turkey since the … disinflation in Turkey. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825671
Exchange rate-based inflation stabilization (ERBS) policies are associated with a boom-recession cycle in economic activity and sustained real exchange rate appreciation. A class of models in the literature has explained these empirical regularities with the lack of credibility of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825871
The Costa Rican economy has grown at rapid rates in the last three years, underpinned by a robust world expansion, sound economic policies, and strong business and consumer confidence. Economic policies have been well oriented. The fiscal position has substantially improved. The exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242798
challenges in its conduct of disinflation policy. Ghana has historically experienced volatile and often high inflation rates. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243488
Moldova showed improved growth prospects and decline in poverty despite a series of consecutive shocks under the economic program. Executive Directors commended the balanced macroeconomic policies and urged to maintain macroeconomic stability. They also appreciated the strong monetary policy by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243637
This staff report for the 2014 Article IV Consultation on the Islamic Republic of Iran focuses on economic developments and policies. The IMF report had achieved considerable progress in raising per capita income and living standards. Large shocks and weak macroeconomic management have had a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245474
below potential for an extended period. We find that such episodes generally brought about significant disinflation … about the same fraction of the initial inflation rate across episodes. That said, disinflation has tended to taper off at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646423
Exchange Restrictions. The main conclusion is that durable dedollarization depends on a credible disinflation plan and specific …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646427
This paper presents a model for Inflation Targeting under imperfect policy credibility. It modifies the conventional model in three ways: an endogenous policy credibility process, by which monetary policy can gain or lose credibility over time; non-linearities in the inflation equation and in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004999964