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sharing comes mostly from the convergence in rates of consumption growth among countries rather than from synchronization of … consumption at the business cycle frequency. Our finding explains why many existing measures fail to detect improved risk sharing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008559272
We estimate consumption dynamics in the G-7 economies, paying particular attention to the possibility of precautionary … consumption growth. As such, consumption in the G-7 economies is unlikely to be the engine that revives global growth. Differences … in the pace and timing of consumption moderation have implications for the evolution of global imbalances. With the U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561067
How does access to credit impact consumption volatility? Theory and evidence from advanced economies suggests that … greater household access to finance smooths consumption. Evidence from emerging markets, where consumption is usually more … volatile than income, indicates that financial reform further increases the volatility of consumption relative to output. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790416
This staff report on Saudi Arabia’s 2013 Article IV Consultation discusses economic policies and development. As the largest crude oil exporter, and the only producer with significant spare capacity, Saudi Arabia plays a systemic and stabilizing role in the global oil market. In 2011,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244901
Central America experienced moderate growth during the last decade, including in the years leading up to the global financial crisis, but the rate of convergence toward advanced country income levels has still been slow. Moreover, forecasts imply that these trends will continue. What can be done...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369454
This paper explores sources of the output collapse in Russia during transition. A modified growth accounting framework is developed that takes into account changes in factor utilization typical of the transition process. The results indicate that declines in factor inputs and productivity were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826009
This paper shows that the behavior of entrepreneurs facing incomplete financial markets and risky investment can explain why growth accelerations in developing countries tend to be associated with current account improvements. The uninsurable risk of losing invested capital forces entrepreneurs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008519499
surpluses without a fall in consumption, capital inflows should be used to increase future output. This paper tentatively finds … following consumption booms. It also shows that many recent large current account deficits have been predominantly the result of … consumption or non-productive investment booms. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790435
We examine whether the cross-country incidence and severity of the 2008-2009 global recession is systematically related to pre-crisis macroeconomic and financial factors. We find that the pre-crisis level of development, increases in the ratio of private credit to GDP, current account deficits,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646414
The recent boom-bust episode in Emerging Europe was largely the product of surges and sudden stops in capital inflows. This paper empirically argues that the sectors into which capital flows determines their impact on GDP growth. Applying data from EU New Member States, it is found that capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019584