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Rabanal, Pau; Lee, Jaewoo - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2010

The driving force of U.S. economic growth is expected to rotate from the fiscal stimulus and inventory rebuilding in 2009 to private demand in 2010, with consumption and particularly investment expected to be important contributors to growth. The strength of U.S. investment will hence be a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727800

Investment-Led Growth in China; Global Spillovers

Ahuja, Ashvin; Nabar, Malhar - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2012

-led growth and face growing risks from a deceleration in investment in China. This note quantifies potential global spillovers … from an investment slowdown in China. It finds that a one percentage point slowdown in investment in China is associated … vulnerable to an investment slowdown in China. The spillover effects also register strongly across a range of macroeconomic …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242248

Potential Growth in Emerging Asia

Anand, Rahul; Cheng, Kevin C.; Rehman, Sidra; Zhang, Longmei - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014

estimates potential growth for China, India, and five ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and … Vietnam) during 1993â€“2013. The main findings include: (i) both China and India have recently exhibited a slowdown in …;(iii) over the longer term, demographic factors will be much more supportive in India and some ASEAN economies than in China …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142066

Islamic State of Afghanistan; First Review Under the Staff-Monitored Program

International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2004

This paper assesses the First Review Under the Staff-Monitored Program (SMP) for Afghanistan. The authorities have met all of the indicative quantitative targets set out under the SMP and all the structural benchmarks, except the benchmark on licensing of commercial banks, which was only partly...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825122

International Capital Crunches; The Time-Varying Role of Informational Asymmetries

Mody, Ashoka; Taylor, Mark P. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2002

We examine the determinants of capital flows to four developing countries during the 1990s using an explicitly disequilibrium econometric framework in which the supply and demand for capital are not necessarily equal and the actual amount of the flow is determined by the ‘short side’ of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825608

Sovereign Default, Private Sector Creditors and the IFIs

Boz, Emine - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2009

This paper builds a model of a sovereign borrower that has access to credit from private sector creditors and an IFI. Private sector creditors and the IFI offer different debt contracts that are modelled based on the institutional frameworks of these two types of debt. We analyze the decisions...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825629

Long-Term Capital Movements

Lane, Philip R.; Milesi-Ferretti, Gian-Maria - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2001

International financial integration allows countries to become net creditors or net debtors with respect to the rest of the world. In this paper, we show that a small set of fundamentals-shifts in relative output levels, the stock of public debt and demographic factors-can do much to explain the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825831

Financial Implications of the Shrinking Supply of U.S. Treasury Securities

Schinasi, Garry J.; Smith, T. Todd; Kramer, Charles … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2001

Recent improvements in fiscal positions in advanced countries have sharply curtailed the issuance of government securities and created the possibility that government securities could disappear in some countries. The possibility that this might occur in the United States has attracted the most...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826085

Lending Resumption After Default; Lessons From Capital Markets During the 19Th Century

Sole, Juan - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006

This paper mines the experience of capital markets during the 19th century to propose an alternative way of interpreting international default episodes. The standard view is that defaulting on sovereign debt entails exclusion from capital markets. Yet we have observed multiple instances of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826116

Two Approaches to Resolving Nonperforming Assets During Financial Crises

Woo, D. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2000

The unprecedented rise in nonperforming assets during the recent Asian financial crisis severely tested the limit and capacity of the existing asset management infrastructure, leading policymakers to consider new approaches to resolve them. This paper examines two such approaches—the creation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826132

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