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For a sample of 83 financial institutions during 2003–2011, this paper attempts to answer three questions: first, what is the evolution of banks’ stock price exposure to country-level and global risk factors as approximated by equity indices; second, which bank-specific characteristics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242342
This paper uses a novel variant of identification through hetroscedacity to estimate spillovers across U.S., Euro area, Japanese, and UK government bond and equity markets in a vector autoregression. The results suggest that U.S. financial shocks reverberate around the world much more strongly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242378
We study the role of uncertainty shocks in explaining unemployment dynamics, separating out the role of aggregate and sectoral channels. Using S&P500 data from the first quarter of 1957 to third quarter of 2014, we construct separate indices to measure aggregate and sectoral uncertainty and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242392
This paper discusses the role of fiscal institutions, including budget rules and non-partisan agencies, in enhancing fiscal discipline. A dynamic model of fiscal policy shows that optimal institutions lack credibility unless the costs to bypass them are sufficiently high. In our model, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825631
This paper attempts to set out the principal issues that need to be resolved in formulating a proposal for quotas and voice reform in the IMF that could command broad support. Following John Rawls, we argue that "justice is the first virtue of social institutions," and we use his theory of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825790
series data, a clear pattern emerges of pre-election manipulations of fiscal policy by incumbent governments, mainly in the … form of increased development spending and overall primary expenditure, followed in some cases by retrenchment in post-election … noteworthy that revenue was not statistically significantly related to elections, either in the pre- or post-election period. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826270
election. The paper also provides empirical support for the theoretical model. Using quarterly data from 32 industrial and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826438
the data set and the empirical methods used to test for the presence of election-influenced spending, and presents the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245020
This paper analyses why corruption can persist for long periods in a democracy and inquires whether this can result from a well-informed rational choice of the citizens. By applying a citizen-candidate model of representative democracy, the paper analyzes how corruption distortsthe allocation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004999974
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005767349