Showing 1 - 10 of 59
In coming decades, China will undergo a notable demographic transformation, with its old-age dependency ratio doubling … literature. Going further, we simulate global savings behavior based on our framework and find that China’s demographics should … and future policy choices. Other implications arising from China’s demography, including the growth model, the pension …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142029
This paper simulates the macroeconomic effects of population aging in a dynamic overlapping generations model of a small open economy. The model is calibrated to data for the Czech Republic, where population aging is proceeding at a pace comparable to that in other advanced countries in Europe....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264152
The working age population is expected to grow faster in the Middle East than in any other region in the world between now and 2015—rising annually by 2.7 percent, or 10 million people. This demographic explosion presents the region with a major challenge in terms of providing jobs, incomes,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264176
This paper reviews Mongolia’s Economic Growth Support Poverty Reduction Strategy (EGSPRS) Implementation Progress Report 2004. Mongolia’s GDP grew by 5.6 percent in 2003, a fulfillment of the goal set out in the Main Guidelines for Economic and Social Development in 2003 to attain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825244
This study assesses the economic implications of China's changing population in the 21st century using a numerical … mobility is high in China, a low fertility rate implies more future capital outflows. But if capital is less mobile, low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825867
The world is in the midst of a major demographic transition. This paper examines the implications of such transition over the next 80 years for Japan, the United States, other industrial countries, and the developing regions of the world using a dynamic intertemporal general equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826038
This paper calculates the levels of optimal national saving, investment, and the current account balance for five Asian economies—Hong Kong SAR, Japan, Singapore, Malaysia, and the Philippines—for the period 1997–2050 using a simulation approach. These calculations show the sensitivity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826103
This paper provides an overview of the potential macroeconomic effects of HIV/AIDS in Botswana, focusing on the key channels through which the pandemic is likely to affect the economic outlook and on the uncertainties involved. To estimate the impact of HIV/AIDS, a dual-economy equilibrium model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826153
This paper examines the progress report on Azerbaijan Republic’s Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper. The share of the production and non-oil sector in GDP has increased. The shares of industry, construction, wholesale, and retail and service sectors increased, while the shares of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768471
Enhancing the efficiency of education and health spending is a key policy challenge in G7 countries. The paper assesses this efficiency and seeks to establish a link between differences in efficiency across countries and policy and institutional factors. The findings suggest that reforms aimed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768819