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Nonperforming Loans and Macrofinancial Vulnerabilities in Advanced Economies
Nkusu, Mwanza - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2011
We analyze the link between nonperforming loans (NPL) and macroeconomic performance using two complementary approaches. First, we investigate the macroeconomic determinants of NPL in panel regressions and confirm that adverse macroeconomic developments are associated with rising NPL. Second, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009203534
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Searching for the Finance-Growth Nexus in Libya
Cevik, Serhan; Rahmati, Mohammad - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2013
This paper investigates the causal relationship between financial development and economic growth in Libya during the period 1970–2010. The empirical results vary with estimation methodology and model specification, but indicate the lack of long-run relationship between financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790327
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Default, Credit Growth, and Asset Prices
Goodhart, C. A. E.; Basurto, Miguel A. Segoviano; … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006
This paper uses a Merton-type estimate of the probability of default (PoD) for the main banks in a sample of Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development and middle-income countries as a proxy for the fragility of their banking systems. Based on theory and stylized facts, the paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264113
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International Transmission of Bank and Corporate Distress
Papa M'B. P. N'Diaye; Gray, Dale F.; Tamirisa, Natalia T.; … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2010
The paper evaluates how increases in banks’ and nonfinancial corporates’ default risk are transmitted in the global economy, using in a vector autoregression model for 30 advanced and emerging economies for the period from January 1996 to December 2008. The results point to two-way...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008542980
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Jamaica; Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2008
Economic outcomes in Jamaica have fallen short of the authorities’ objectives in recent years. As the government looks to reinvigorate its growth and debt reduction strategy, it is instructive to examine how exogenous shocks and other unanticipated developments can affect economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245592
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Imf Drawing Programs; Participation Determinants and Forecasting
Cerutti, Eugenio - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2007
-net international reserves and GDP growth-together with a global factor-world GDP growth-are found to be among the most significant … period reviewed. The influence of world GDP growth seems to have been significant during the 1980s debt crises but not since … the Mexican crisis in 1994. An out-of-sample forecast evaluation of the period 2004-5 reveals that the model has some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248203
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The Monetary Model Strikes Back; Evidence From the World
Cerra, Valerie; Saxena, Sweta Chaman - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2008
from 98 countries, we find strong evidence for cointegration between nominal exchange rates and monetary fundamentals. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263651
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Common and Idiosyncratic Components in Real Output; Further International Evidence
Simone, Francisco Nadal-De - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2002
This paper uses the classical (level) definition of business cycles to analyze the characteristics-duration, amplitude, steepness, and cumulative output movements-of the real GDP series of France, Germany, Italy, the rest of the euro area, and the United States. An index of concordance and its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263734
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On the Heterogeneity Bias of Pooled Estimators in Stationary VAR Specifications
Rebucci, Alessandro - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2003
This paper studies asymptotically the bias of the fixed effect (FE) estimator induced by cross-section heterogeneity in the slope parameters of stationary vector autoregressions (VARs). The paper also compares the FE, the mean group estimator (MG), and a simple instrumental variable alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263898
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Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Nineties; Are Any Fit to Survive?
Cheung, Yin-Wong; Pascual, Antonio Garcia; Chinn, … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2004
at forecast horizons of 1, 4, and 20 quarters, using the mean squared error, direction of change metrics, and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263978