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We argue that firms' balance sheets were instrumental in the propagation of shocks during the Great Recession. Using establishment-level data, we show that firms that tightened their debt capacity in the run-up to the Great Recession ("highleverage firms") exhibit a significantly larger decline...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457590
sharp increase in the incidence of long-term unemployment (LTU) during the Great Recession. We first show that compositional … shifts in demographics, occupation, industry, region, and the reason for unemployment jointly account for very little of the … model that allows for duration dependence in the exit rate from unemployment and for transitions between employment (E …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458392
Equilibrium labor market theory suggests that unemployment benefit extensions affect unemployment by impacting both job … vacancy creation, employment, and a rise in unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459133
-displacement earnings if displaced in mass-layoff events that occur when the national unemployment rate is below 6 percent. They lose a … staggering 2.8 years of pre-displacement earnings if displaced when the unemployment rate exceeds 8 percent. These results … opportunities respond to contemporaneous economic conditions. Finally, we confront leading models of unemployment fluctuations with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461019
The aggregate neoclassical growth model - with means-tested subsidies whose replacement rates began rising at the end of 2007 as its only impulse - produces time series for aggregate labor usage, consumption, investment, and real GDP that closely resemble actual U.S. time series. Despite having...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461213
more severe. A higher unemployment rate around the time of retirement reduces Social Security income for those in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462588
record rise in long-term unemployment may yield a persistent residue of long-term unemployed workers with weak search … effectiveness. Second, conventional estimates suggest that the extension of Emergency Unemployment Compensation may have led to a … modest increase in unemployment. Despite these forces, we conclude that the problems facing the U.S. labor market are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462625
The aggregate neoclassical growth model - with a labor income tax or "labor market distortion" that began growing at the end of 2007 as its only impulse - produces time series for aggregate labor usage, consumption, investment, and real GDP that closely resemble actual U.S. time series. Of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462971
Employment in STEM occupations suffered smaller peak-to-trough percentage declines than non-STEM occupations during the Great Recession and COVID-19 recession, suggesting a relative resiliency of STEM employment. We exploit the sudden peak-to-trough declines in STEM and non-STEM employment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794596
may face unemployment. Multipliers associated with different government expenditure programs differ markedly. The paper … describes policies that can mitigate precautionary behavior, leading to reduced unemployment. Greater wage flexibility may lead … to increased unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482212