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-cycle-frequency fluctuations in unemployment and job vacancies in response to shocks of a plausible magnitude. In the U.S., the vacancy-unemployment … vacancy-unemployment ratio and labor productivity have nearly the same variance. I establish this claim both using analytical … small movement along a downward sloping Beveridge curve (unemployment-vacancy locus). A shock to the job destruction rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469164
This paper investigates the relationship between macroeconomic conditions, alcohol use, and drinking problems using individual-level data from the 1987-1999 years of the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. We confirm the procyclical variation in overall drinking identified in previous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470207
Unemployment Insurance system to measure the effects of imperfect experience-rating on temporary layoffs and other types of … unemployment. We find a strong negative association between the degree of experience-rating and the rate of temporary layoff … unemployment, with the largest effect in recessionary years and the smallest effect in expansionary years. Increases in the degree …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474950
We examine the first-order internal effects of unemployment on a range of health behaviors during the most recent … decline in total physical activity. We also find that unemployment is associated with a decline in purchases of fast food …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457918
sharp increase in the incidence of long-term unemployment (LTU) during the Great Recession. We first show that compositional … shifts in demographics, occupation, industry, region, and the reason for unemployment jointly account for very little of the … model that allows for duration dependence in the exit rate from unemployment and for transitions between employment (E …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458392
facts observed in the data. First, the land price and the unemployment rate tend to move in opposite directions over the … business cycle. Second, a shock that moves the land price is capable of generating large volatility in unemployment. Our … estimation indicates that a 10 percent drop in the land price leads to a 0.34 percentage point increase of the unemployment rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459279
A search and matching model, when calibrated to the mean and volatility of unemployment in the postwar sample, can … potentially explain the large unemployment dynamics in the Great Depression. The limited response of wages to labor market … conditions from credible bargaining and the congestion externality from matching frictions cause the unemployment rate to rise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459456
In this paper, we study the short-run and long-run comovement between prices and real activity in the G7 countries during the postwar period using VAR forecast errors and frequency domain filters. We find that there are several patterns of the correlation coefficients that are the same in all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470531
In this paper, I present two different methods that can be used to obtain a concise set of descriptive results about the comovement of variables. The statistics are easy to interpret and capture important information about the dynamics in the system that would be lost if one focused only on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473303
This paper explores the effect of news shocks on the current account and other macroeconomic variables using worldwide giant oil discoveries as a directly observable measure of news shocks about future output-the delay between a discovery and production is on average 4 to 6 years. We first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457809