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The impact of the global financial crisis and recession on the Latin America and Caribbean region was substantial, but the worst is over for most countries. The region avoided falling into a crisis of its own, performing relatively well amid strong external shocks. Many countries have now...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014405568
The main focus of this report is the outlook for the region in the face of the downturn now projected for the U.S. economy and the continuing risks that affect the global outlook. Overall the region is better placed than in the past to navigate the current financial turbulence, given reduced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014406219
In spite of a slower U.S. economy and recent market turbulence, growth in the Latin America and Caribbean region has continued at a robust pace. This reports explores the resilience of the LAC region to external shocks and the policy challenges involved in sustaining the region’s improved...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014406220
Despite the recent deterioration in the global economic environment, projections for the region involve only a modest worsening of the outlook. The October 2011 Regional Economic Outlook: Western Hemisphere cautions, however, that there are severe downside risks. A sharp slowdown in Asia, for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401911
above potential in 2014. Downside risks from weaker activity in trading partners or lower world hydrocarbon prices have …. Staff recommended targeting a neutral fiscal stance in 2014, saving policy stimulus to respond to downside external shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014394282
KEY ISSUES Context. Economic performance has been weak and public debt is high. Foreign reserves are under pressure as fiscal and external imbalances widened in 2012 and further in 2013. Recognizing the need for urgent action, the authorities announced ambitious budget consolidation proposals in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014394294
This Selected Issues paper assesses empirically the motives and effectiveness of foreign exchange (FX) interventions in Peru. The results of the study indicate asymmetries both in the Central Reserve Bank of Peru's reaction function and in the effectiveness of FX interventions. Probit estimates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014394313
The unconventional energy boom has had significant positive effects on Canada’s economic activity and has the potential to contribute even more in the future with the appropriate extension of infrastructure capacity. Our findings suggest that while limited exports capacity would result in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014394316
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Macroeconomic developments are broadly in line with program projections. There are signs of a gradual recovery from the effects of the global financial crisis and hurricane Sandy. Real GDP growth for 2013/14 is projected at just under 1 percent, supported by improved activity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014394349
KEY ISSUES Context. Macroeconomic stability has been maintained and policies are broadly in line with the recommendations of the 2012 Article IV consultation. Growth is expected to slow somewhat, reflecting in part lower coffee production and slowdown in construction. Inflation expectations are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014394372