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Uncertainty in turbulent times : economic analysis and outlook for Central, East and Southeast Europe : wiiw forecast report spring 2020

Pindyuk, Olga; Bykova, Alexandra; Grieveson, Richard; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche - 2020

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012500060

On Thin Ice: CESEE Core Resilient in the Face of EU Stagnation and the Ukraine Crisis

Astrov, Vasily; Çiçek, Serkan; Dobrinsky, Rumen; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2014

Summary Despite near stagnation in the euro area and the negative impact of the Ukraine crisis, in most of the NMS economies and some of the Western Balkan countries growth prospects are viewed as positive. While the NMS economies will preserve their positive growth differential vis-à-vis the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011019991

Investment to the Rescue

Astrov, Vasily; Dobrinsky, Rumen; Gligorov, Vladimir; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2014

The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw) expects GDP in Central, East and Southeast Europe (CESEE) to pick up speed and grow on average by 2-3% over the forecast period 2014-2016 a major driving force rooted in an upward reversal of public and private investment. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010751986

Investment to the Rescue

Astrov, Vasily; Dobrinsky, Rumen; Gligorov, Vladimir; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2014

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010753909

Fasting or Feasting? Europe - Old and New - at the Crossroads

Astrov, Vasily; Gligorov, Vladimir; Hanzl-Weiss, Doris; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2012

External determinants Two key factors currently affect the economic prospects of CESEE the crisis in the euro area and movements in the commodity prices. For Russia, Kazakhstan and Ukraine declining world market prices of energy carriers, steel and other basic commodities are vital. For most of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686219

Double-dip Recession over, yet no Boom in Sight

Astrov, Vasily; Dobrinsky, Rumen; Gligorov, Vladimir; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2013

Summary The protracted recession in the euro area will continue to be a drag on the economic growth of most CESEE countries in 2013. By and large, those countries are small open economies held hostage to the excessive fiscal austerity pursued in the euro area and the sluggish progress on the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686994

New Divide(s) in Europe?

Astrov, Vasily; Gligorov, Vladimir; Hanzl-Weiss, Doris; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2012

employment. Furthermore, patterns of adjustment across CESEE economies vary greatly, with some countries (such as Croatia … dampens consumption expenditures, and leads to cutbacks in employment (and wages), which, in turn, lower household incomes and … markets of the CESEEs and the situation of the banking sector respectively. Towards the end of 2011 the employment situation …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010820235

Animal Spirits still Dimmed: Slow Recovery Expected

Astrov, Vasily; Dobrinsky, Rumen; Gligorov, Vladimir; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2013

happening in the labour markets. Employment rates have declined in most countries while unemployment in particular among the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010820236

Recovery: Limp and Battered

Astrov, Vasily; Gligorov, Vladimir; Hanzl-Weiss, Doris; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2011

For 2011 the wiiw central scenario envisages further improvements in the economic performance of those countries that were still stagnating or contracting in 2010 (Bulgaria, Latvia, Romania, Croatia, Macedonia and Montenegro). However, in those countries that performed reasonably well in 2010...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009146721

Western Balkans: Employment in the Gas and Electricity Sectors

Astrov, Vasily; Christie, Edward; Hanzl-Weiss, Doris; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2011

Summary German (PDF) Summary French (PDF) The objective of this study is to analyse employment developments in the gas … electricity sectors in the Western Balkan countries as well as the evolution of employment in these sectors and the different …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009131258