The forecast plays an important role in the planning, the decision-making and control in any domain of activity … (univariate models), that use only the information of its past values to forecast the future, can often predict future with more … accuracy than causal or multivariate models. In this paper, we model and forecast the offensive effectiveness of the soccer …

estimated time-varying bias can be used to improve the SPF and Green Book inflation forecast performance by at least 13.4%. This … distinguishes between systematic and non-systematic forecast errors. The findings indicate highly persistent systematic mistakes … paper also documents evidence that the real interest rate plays a crucial role in explaining the level of bias that leads to …

This study aimed to clarify the value of the bias beta stocks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange and make … corrections to the bias value using Scholes and Williams, Dimson, and Fowler and Rorke. Results of this study indicate that the … stock beta is the value of bias, besides the results normality test also confirmed that the distribution of stock returns of …