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We survey the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. We highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend promising directions for future research. This survey is designed for both financial economists interested in grasping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322889
This paper provides an alternative real options framework to assess how firms' strategic interaction under imperfect competition a¤ects the industrial dynamics of investment, concentration, and expected returns. When firms have similar production technologies, the cross sectional variation in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011071300
We document that value-to-price, the ratio of Residual-Income-Model-based valuation to market price, subsumes the power …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226164
We study sources and implications of undiversified portfolios in a production-based asset pricing model with financial frictions. Households take concentrated positions in a single firm exposed to idiosyncratic shocks because managerial effort requires equity stakes, and because investors gain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250139
Active equity funds care about fund size, affected by fund flows that obey a strong factor structure with the common component responding to macroeconomic shocks. Funds hedge against common flows by tilting their portfolios toward low-flow-beta stocks, while household/retail and index investors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334451
We develop a new class of tree-based models (P-Tree) for analyzing (unbalanced) panel data utilizing global (instead of local) split criteria that incorporate economic guidance to guard against overfitting while preserving interpretability. We grow a P-Tree top-down to split the cross section of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477297
new decision trees) and locally selects variables (with Bayesian priors) for modeling panel data with potential grouped … predicted by market volatility and valuation, and (iii) MKTRF and SMB as common factors and multiple uncommon factors across …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322811
The historical returns on equity index options are well known to be strikingly negative. That is typically explained either by investors having convex marginal utility over stock returns (e.g. crash/variance aversion) or by intermediaries demanding a premium for hedging risk. This paper examines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436964
When expected returns are linear in asset characteristics, the stochastic discount factor (SDF) that prices individual stocks can be represented as a factor model with GLS cross-sectional regression slope factors. Factors constructed heuristically by aggregating individual stocks into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287376
We analyze the financial performance of a hypothetical portfolio of 120 mRNA vaccine candidates in the preclinical stage targeting 11 emerging infectious diseases. We calibrate the simulation parameters with input from domain experts in mRNA technology and an extensive literature review. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334345