Showing 1 - 10 of 62
Uncertainty appears to vary strongly over time, temporarily rising by up to 200% around major shocks like the Cuban Missile crisis, the assassination of JFK and 9/11. This paper offers the first structural framework to analyze uncertainty shocks. I build a model with a time varying second...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010744930
We revisit Western Europe’s record with labor-productivity convergence, and tentatively extrapolate its implications … reallocation of labor from agriculture to manufacturing and services, which have higher capital intensity and use resources more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010745276
We identify the impact of local firm concentration on incumbent performance with a quasi natural experiment. When Germany was divided after World War II, many firms in the machine tool industry fled the Soviet occupied zone to prevent expropriation. We show that the regional location decisions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011126565
aggregates. The data show that periods of increased inflation uncertainty are associated with substantial reductions in total …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010884740
This paper presents a political economy model of inflation as a result of social conflict. Agents are heterogeneous in … terms of income. Agents’ income levels determine their ability to hedge against the effects of inflation. The interaction of … model makes a number of predictions concerning which environments are conducive to the emergence of inflation. Inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010745045
dynamics of inflation implied by macroeconomic data, the model needs to assume an average duration of price contracts which is … perfectly competitive labor market can help resolve the pricing conflict. I do so by assuming search frictions in the labor … market. In this framework, labor becomes firm-specific and marginal cost curves become upward-sloping. This mechanism reduces …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010745233
inflation is low. Despite the substantial numbers of individuals whose nominal wages fall from one year to the next, we find … that if long-run inflation is one percent higher, the number of individuals with negative real pay growth increases by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010746590
This paper presents evidence from a panel investigation of OECD countries that inflationary pressures tend to be stronger during recovery from financial crises compared to recovery from non-crisis economic downturns, indicating impairment in productive potential.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011126125
inflation to rise in the short term. Our results also suggest that the effects on aggregate supply have grown stronger in recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011126591
A reduction in inflation can fuel run-ups in housing prices if people suffer from money illusion. For example … account that inflation lowers future real mortgage costs. We decompose the price-rent ratio in a rational component — meant to … capture the proxy effect and risk premia — and an implied mispricing. We find that inflation and nominal interest rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011071404