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The stylized fact that public announcements in financial markets are followed by intense trading, high trading volume and volatile prices, is widely perceived as the sign of increasing disagreement due to the announcement. However, it is common to argue that this would be inconsistent with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011071459
We investigate a new separable nonparametric model for time series, which includes many ARCH models and AR models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010746316
We examine the relationship between the risk premium on the S&P500 index total return and its conditional variance. We propose a new semiparametric model in which the conditional variance process is parametric, while the conditional mean is an arbitrary function of the conditional variance. For...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010745701
We investigate a class of semiparametric ARCH(∞) models that includes as a special case the partially nonparametric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011071447
One of the most important findings in empirical finance has been the fact that returns are not i.i.d. Predictability, or time variation in the conditional distribution of returns, is one of the basic ingredients of asset pricing and portfolio choice models nowadays. Under the current renewed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011071472
This paper examines the role of other-regarding behavior as a mechanism for the establishment and maintenance of cooperation in resource use under variable social and environmental conditions. By coupling resource stock dynamics with social dynamics concerning compliance to a social norm...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011071071
When fairly homogeneous taxpayers are affected by common income shocks, a tax agency’s optimal auditing strategy consists of auditing a low-income declarer with a probability that (weakly) increases with the other taxpayers’ declarations. Such policy generates a coordination game among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010928739
A large literature in behavioral and social sciences has found that human wellbeing follows a U-shape over age. Some theories have assumed that the U-shape is caused by unmet expectations that are felt painfully in midlife but beneficially abandoned and experienced with less regret during old...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010746117
I present a model of social learning over an exogenous, directed network that may be readily nested within broader macroeconomic models with dispersed information and combines the attributes that agents (a) act repeatedly and simultaneously; (b) are Bayes-rational; and (c) have strategic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011126293
We provide a critique of the methods that have been used to derive measures of income risk and draw attention to the importance of demographic factors as a source of income risk. We also propose new measures of the contribution to total income risk of demographic and labour market factors....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011126475