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This paper introduces a nonparametric Granger-causality test for covariance stationary linear processes under, possibly, the presence of long-range dependence. We show that the test is consistent and has power against contiguous alternatives converging to the parametric rate T-½. Since the test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011071140
We study the mechanisms through which the adoption of the Euro delayed, rather than advanced, economic reforms in the … Euro zone periphery and led to the deterioration of important institutions in these countries. We show that the abandonment … process after the creation of the Euro. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011126656
This paper looks at the monetary policy decisions of the U.S. Federal Reserve and asks whether those decisions have been influenced solely by national concerns, or whether regional factors have played a role. All of the Federal Reserve''s policymakers have some regional identity, i.e., either...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010884746
others used the gravity model on a much smaller data set to estimate the effects of the euro on trade among its members. The … that were estimated in the euro's first four years hold up in the second four years? The answer is yes. Second, and more … explanations for the gap between 15% and 200%. First, lags. The euro is still very young. Second, size. The European countries are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011071291
In this research report IDEAS explores the current euro crisis by looking at the debates preceding the conception of … the euro. How can the early days of EU monetary cooperation help us understand today's predicament? And what lessons can … we draw from them for the euro? Emmanuel Mourlon-Druol is Pinto Fellow at LSE IDEAS. Today's debates about the viability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010745583
The processes of building the United States of America (USA) during the nineteenth century and the European Union (EU) since mid-twentieth century are among the major claims for the possibility of a vast, ‘imperial’-size political unit based on democratic principles. The crucial period for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010745910
Nonparametric regression is developed for data with both a temporal and a cross-sectional dimension. The model includes additive, unknown, individual-specific components and allows also for cross-sectional and temporal dependence and conditional heteroscedasticity. A simple nonparametric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011268330
We use information from two prospective British birth cohort studies to explore the antecedents of adult malaise, an indicator of incipient depression. These studies include a wealth of information on childhood circumstances, behaviour, test scores and family background, measured several times...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011126681
This paper proposes an approach to proving nonparametric identification for distributions of bidders' values in asymmetric second-price auctions. I consider the case when bidders have independent private values and the only available data pertain to the winner's identity and the transaction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011126732
We introduce an alternative version of the Fama-French three-factor model of stock returns together with a new estimation methodology. We assume that the factor betas in the model are smooth nonlinear functions of observed security characteristics. We develop an estimation procedure that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010884698