Showing 1 - 10 of 13
This note provides a simple exposition of what IV can and cannot estimate in a model with a binary treatment variable and heterogeneous treatment effects. It shows how linear IV is a misspecification of functional form and the reason why linear IV estimates for this model will always depend on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010746568
This paper documents the convergence of incomes across Indian states over the period 1965 to 1998. It departs from traditional analyses of convergence by tracking the evolution of the entire income distribution, instead of standard regression and time series analyses. The findings reveal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011071107
Equilibrium models have been proposed in literature with the aim of describing the evolution of the price of emission permits. This paper derives first a reducedform model from an equilibrium model and thereby explains how existing reducedform models are related to equilibrium models. Second, by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011071177
volatility into these four sources, quantify their contribution to aggregate volatility, and study how they relate to the stage …, and slowly increases at later stages of development. Third, the volatility of country-specific macroeconomic shocks falls … with the level of development. We argue that many theories linking volatility and development are not consistent with these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010884605
GARCH models are commonly used as latent processes in econometrics, financial economics and macroeconomics. Yet no exact likelihood analysis of these models has been provided so far. In this paper we outline the issues and suggest a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm which allows the calculation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010884643
We investigate a new separable nonparametric model for time series, which includes many ARCH models and AR models already discussed in the literature. We also propose a new estimation procedure based on a localization of the econometric method of instrumental variables. Our method has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010884733
lower the volatility of output growth. Technological complexity evolves endogenously in response to profit incentives. The … decline in volatility thus arises as a by-product of firms’ incentives to increase profits and is hence a likely outcome of … that for reasonable parameter values, the model can generate a decline in volatility with the level of development …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010928680
Markets reacted strongly to the World Trade Center attacks both in Europe and in the United States. The extent of this crisis was difficult to assess at the time, underlining the need for a specific tool to measure the magnitude of financial crises. A first measure was recently proposed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010744901
This paper estimates the implied stochastic process of the volatility of the Swiss market index (SMI) from the prices … option pricing model of Duan (1991), the implied volatility process is estimated by a simulation minimization method from … option price data. We find the persistence of volatility shocks implied by options on the SMI to be very close to that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010746119
We investigate a new separable nonparametric model for time series, which includes many ARCH models and AR models already discussed in the literature. We also propose a new estimation procedure based on a localization of the econometric method of instrumental variables. Our method has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010746316