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We provide a historical perspective focusing on Ziemba's experiences and research on the bond-stock earnings yield differential model (BSEYD) starting from when he first used it in Japan in 1988 through to the present in 2014. The model has called many but not all crashes. Those called have high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011170088
income risk, in the form of both uninsurable shocks and a common aggregate component, small differences in the correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010928808
This paper brings together the literature on determination of home bias in equity holdings and the portfolio balance model of exchange rates to consider whether the dollar might be affected by a change in transactions costs that alters international portfolio allocations. Our empirical findings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010745774
i.e. there is no noise trader risk. Instead, traders expect that new rational entrants with different information in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010884635
traditional approach is that measures the risk and return tradeoff in terms of mean and variance of final wealth. However, there …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010745189
consider human capital risk, the international diversification puzzle is worse than we think, is based on an econometric …: considering the human capital risk does not unequivocally worsen the puzzle and in some cases helps explaining it. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010746135
assumptions. We accomplish this by relying on the plausible joint frictions of immediacy risk (excution risk) and asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010746573
This paper introduces a tractable, structural model of subjective beliefs. Since agents that plan for the future care about expected future utility flows, current felicity can be increased by believing that better outcomes are more likely. On the other hand, expectations that are biased towards...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010746723
amplification of systemic risk. We caution against focusing on the accounting rule in isolation, and instead emphasize the …-based information, our results indicate that regulatory simplicity may be preferred to the complexity of risk-weighted capital ratios … that gives rise, through interactions with accounting rules, to distorted risk-taking incentives and potential build-up of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011171756
interest rates, and countercyclical market prices of risk when the elasticity of intertemporal substitution (EIS) is greater …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011126596