We empirically analyse the appropriateness of indexing emerging market sovereign debt to USreal interest rates. We find that policy-induced exogenous increases in US rates raise default riskin emerging market economies, as hypothesised in the theoretical literature. However, we also findevidence...

In a country with high probability of default, higher interest rates may render the currency lessattractive if sovereign default is costly. This paper develops that intuition in a simple model andestimates the effect of changes in interest rates on the exchange rate in Brazil using data from...

In a model with heterogeneity in managerial talent, we compare the economicand political consequences of reforms aimed at reducing fixed costs of entry (deregulation)and improving the efficiency of financial markets (financial reform). Theeffects of these reforms depend on the market where...