This paper analyses predictions of a simple model of currency crises in which the peg will beabandoned when the currency overvaluation hits a certain threshold, unknown to the agents. Due tolearning about the threshold, some features usually observed in the data and identified with modelswith...

Set forth below in Part I is a discussion of the backgroundof the Pilot; in Part II, conclusions arising out of the conductof the Pilot; and in Part III, the Participating Institutions’views as to the next steps. The Pilot left the ParticipatingInstitutions with three core conclusions:• that...

Traditionally, regulation of banks has focused on the riskentailed in bank loans. Loans are typically nontradedassets. In recent years, another component of bank assetshas become increasingly important: assets actively tradedin the financial markets.1 These assets form the “tradingbook” of a...

[...]This paper presents an overview of the new capitalrequirements. In the first section, we describe the structureof the requirements and the considerations that went intotheir design. In addition, we address some of the concernsthat have been raised about the methods of calculating...

Bank supervisors have long recognized two types of shortcomingsin the Basle Accord’s risk-based capital (RBC)framework. First, the regulatory measures of “capital” maynot represent a bank’s true capacity to absorb unexpectedlosses. Deficiencies in reported loan loss reserves, forexample,...

This paper describes a new and intuitive methodfor answering these technical questions by tabulating theexact loss distribution arising from correlated credit eventsfor any arbitrary portfolio of counterparty exposures, downto the individual contract level, with the losses measuredon a...

Liberalization and deregulation have recently accelerated.It is therefore useful to keep risk within a certain level inrelation to capital, considering that financial institutionsmust control their risk appropriately to maintain thesafety and soundness of their operation. In 1988, the...

This article investigates the factors influencing the timingand funding of payments in the CHAPS Sterling system,drawing where appropriate on comparisons with paymentactivity in Fedwire...

[...]This article discusses how the Federal Reserve manages itscredit risk exposure from daylight overdrafts. We first presenta simple economic framework for thinking about the causes ofcredit risk and the possible tools that lenders have to help them manage it...