Este es material de curso para un curso introductorio a la Probabilidad y la Estadistica en Ingenieria y Administracion. Es parte de algunas notas de clases de mis cursos en Español sobre esos temas. La humanidad ha perseguido el conocimiento del futuro. Recuerdese el sybil en el oraculo de...

Cuando se proyectan estados financieros hay que tener cuidado de construir un modeloconsistente y correcto. Esto no es una tarea fácil. Incluso el experto en modelaje másexperimentado puede incurrir en equivocaciones. Esto es especialmente relevante cuandose construye un modelo financiero sin...

In this work we show a simplified financial planning model. In reality, financial planning models are huge and cumbersome. This is a very simplified model compared with what is found in practice.We present some basic principles for constructing the financial statements needed for valuation. We...

In this teaching note the reader finds a simplified financial model. In reality, financial models are huge and cumbersome. What we present is very simplified model in comparison to what is found in practice. We indicate the formulas that have to be utilized in the construction of the financial...

This teaching note is devoted to the definition and calculation of cash flows, namely, cash flow to debt, (CFD), cash flow to equity, (CFE), capital cash flow, (CCF), tax savings, (TS) and free cash flow, (FCF). We use the direct and the indirect methods to derive the relevant cash flow profiles...

Este capítulo está dedicado a la definición y aplicación del concepto del 'costo de capital' y la valoración de los flujos de caja desde diferentes puntos de vista. Se presenta un método para estimar el costo de la deuda y las formulaciones generales del costo del patrimonio y del...

This chapter is devoted to the definition and application of the cost of capital"concept to the valuation of cash flows from different points of view. We present an approach to estimate the cost of debt and general formulations for the cost of equity and the traditional weighted average cost of...

Typical textbooks on corporate finance and forecasting and budgeting recommend "closing" and matching the financial statements what is known as a plug. A plug is a formula to match the Balance Sheet using the differences in some items listed in it in such a way that the accounting equation...

When forecasting financial statements care has to be taken to construct a consistentand correct model. This is not an easy task. Even the most experienced expert in modelingmakes mistakes. This is especially relevant when we construct a financial model withoutplugs and without circularity. In...

Esta nota pedagógica ilustra el cálculo de la elasticidad precio-demanda y su aplicación en la proyección de estados financieros.