In this paper, we question whether there is a catch-up effect or announcement effectin Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) from the European Union (EU) to the ten EU accession countries. We study FDI outflows from the Netherlands, a small open economy with few historical ties to Eastern Europe, and...

Over de verhouding tussen overheid en markt wordt steeds vaker de grootst mogelijk onzin verkondigd. Dat gebeurt niet alleen in de universitaire (economische) wetenschap, maar vooral ook in de politieke wereld van de beleidsmakers. Dat heeft fatale gevolgen voor ons wetenschappelijk denken over...

We show that, complementary to trade and financial linkages, the strength of the bankingsector helps explain the transmission of currency crises. Specifically, we demonstrate thatthe Mexican, Thai, and Russian crises predominantly spread to countries with weaknesses intheir banking sectors. At...

The purpose of this paper is to propose a new measure of contagion. Our approach to testing contagion is based on the frequency analysis of causality developed recently by Breitung and Candelon (2004). This approach handles, in a unified framework, several of the statistical problems identified...

De situatie waarin de Nederlandse samenleving zich bevindt, lijkt rooskleurig, en tot op zekere hoogte is dat beeld juist. Maar een grondiger analyse laat ons zien dat het ordeprobleem groter wordt, ondanks de politieke aandacht die het krijgt. In dit artikel wordt betoogd dat de Nederlandse...

Empirical evidence shows that government spending crowds in private consumption, a Keynesian phenomenon. The current state of the art, New Keynesian models based on optimising households and _rms, is not able to predict such a result. We show with a graphical framework as well as a formal model...

This paper analyses the way immigration can help to alleviate the burden ageing presents for the welfare states of most Western Economies. We develop a macroeconomic framework which deals with the impact of both ageing and immigration on economic growth. This is combined with a detailed model of...

By distinguishing between discretionary and non-discretionary fiscal policy, this paper analyses the stability of fiscal rules for EMU countries before and after the Maastricht Treaty. Using both Instrumental Variables and GMM techniques, it turns out that discretionary fiscal policy remains...

We propose an approach for checking the data admissibility of non-stationary multivariate time series models (VAR or VARMA) through that of their implied individual ARIMA specifications. In particular we show that the presence of different kinds of common cyclical features restrictions, leading...

It is well known that cointegration between the level of two variables (labeled Y_{t} and y_{t} inthis paper) is a necessary condition to assess the empirical validity of a present-value model (PVand PVM, respectively, hereafter) linking them. The work on cointegration has been so prevalentthat...