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Current practice largely follows restrictive approaches to market risk measurement, such as historical simulation or … produce more accurate risk assessments, treating both portfolio-level and asset-level analysis. Asset-level analysis is … particularly challenging because the demands of real-world risk management in financial institutions - in particular, real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460575
It depends. If volatility fluctuates in a forecastable way, then volatility forecasts are useful for risk management …; hence the interest in volatility forecastability in the risk management literature. Volatility forecastability, however … volatility forecastability decays quickly with horizon. Volatility forecastability, although clearly of relevance for risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471968
What do academics have to offer market risk management practitioners in financial institutions? Current industry … assessments of market risk. Clearly, the demands of real-world risk management in financial institutions -- in particular, real …-time risk tracking in very high-dimensional situations -- impose strict limits on model complexity. Hence we stress parsimonious …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467618
We propose several connectedness measures built from pieces of variance decompositions, and we argue that they provide natural and insightful measures of connectedness among financial asset returns and volatilities. We also show that variance decompositions define weighted, directed networks, so...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461167
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001617180
forecasts in portfolio allocation to density forecasting in risk management. Sections 3, 4 and 5 present a variety of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467497
central bank. From a finance perspective, long rates are risk-adjusted averages of expected future short rates. Thus, as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467596
Despite powerful advances in yield curve modeling in the last twenty years, comparatively little attention has been paid to the key practical problem of forecasting the yield curve. In this paper we do so. We use neither the no-arbitrage approach, which focuses on accurately fitting the cross...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468646
We consider three sets of phenomena that feature prominently and separately in the financial economics literature: conditional mean dependence (or lack thereof) in asset returns, dependence (and hence forecastability) in asset return signs, and dependence (and hence forecastability) in asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468689
Despite the clear success of forecast combination in many economic environments, several important issues remain incompletely resolved. The issues relate to selection of the set of forecasts to combine, and whether some form of additional regularization (e.g., shrinkage) is desirable. Against...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480620