Showing 1 - 10 of 79
expected exchange rate depreciations (appreciations) for high (low) interest rate currencies, suggesting that disaster risk is … priced in currency markets. To study the price of disaster risk, we propose a simple structural model that includes both … Gaussian and disaster risk and can be estimated even in samples that do not contain disasters. Estimating the model over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463588
country risk, the paper discusses a number of modifications in the standard theory of efficient international financial … markets that are necessitated by the existence of country risk., For macroeconomic policy, the major implications are that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478620
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002111075
or unsound argument'. The 'fiscal theory of the price level', recently re-developed by Woodford, Cochrane, Sims and … proponents of the fiscal theory of the price level do not accept the fundamental proposition that the government's intertemporal …. Policy conclusions could be drawn from the fiscal theory of the price level that would be harmful if they influenced the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471482
The paper considers ways of avoiding a liquidity trap and ways of getting out of one. Unless lower short nominal interest rates are associated with significantly lower interest volatility, a lower average rate of inflation, which will be associated with lower expected nominal interest rates,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471545
borrowing. There is not yet any "deep structural" theory justifying the (exogenous) lower bounds on the stock of foreign … exchange reserves characteristic of the collapsing exchange rate literature. Absent such a theory of "international liquidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477028
Debt neutrality is said to occur if, given a program for public spending on current goods and services over time, the real equilibrium of the economy (private consumption, investment, relative prices, etc.) is independent of the pattern of government borrowing and lump-sum taxation over time....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477043
The paper considers the response of a small, open dependent economy to a variety of fiscal and financial shocks as well as the influence of alternative budget balancing rules on the response of the system to such external shocks as a change in the world interest rate. The approach allows for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477047
The paper studies the effects of alternative financing policies in the open economy.There is a non-trivial role for financial policy because of the failure of first-order debt neutrality due to uncertain private lifetimes. Both the single-country case and the interdependent two-country case are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477660
The paper develops a forward-looking comprehensive accounting framework for the public sector.By integrating the public sector budget constraint forward in time the government's present value budget constraint (PVBC) is obtained. In addition to the familiar financial assets and liabilities,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477762