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Current practice largely follows restrictive approaches to market risk measurement, such as historical simulation or … produce more accurate risk assessments, treating both portfolio-level and asset-level analysis. Asset-level analysis is … particularly challenging because the demands of real-world risk management in financial institutions - in particular, real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460575
volatility estimation. In particular, we use market microstructure theory to derive the cross-correlation function between latent … geometrically. If market makers are sufficiently risk averse, however, the cross-correlation pattern is inverted. Our results are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462188
It depends. If volatility fluctuates in a forecastable way, then volatility forecasts are useful for risk management …; hence the interest in volatility forecastability in the risk management literature. Volatility forecastability, however … volatility forecastability decays quickly with horizon. Volatility forecastability, although clearly of relevance for risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471968
expected exchange rate depreciations (appreciations) for high (low) interest rate currencies, suggesting that disaster risk is … priced in currency markets. To study the price of disaster risk, we propose a simple structural model that includes both … Gaussian and disaster risk and can be estimated even in samples that do not contain disasters. Estimating the model over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463588
What do academics have to offer market risk management practitioners in financial institutions? Current industry … assessments of market risk. Clearly, the demands of real-world risk management in financial institutions -- in particular, real …-time risk tracking in very high-dimensional situations -- impose strict limits on model complexity. Hence we stress parsimonious …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467618
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002111075
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001617180
Using high-frequency data on Deutschemark and Yen returns against the dollar, we construct model-free estimates of daily exchange rate volatility and correlation, covering an entire decade. In addition to being model-free, our estimates are also approximately free of measurement error under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471846
This paper discusses two simple decompositions for aggregate productivity analysis in the presence of distortions and in general equilibrium. The first is a generalization of Baqaee and Farhi (2017) and the second is due to Petrin and Levinsohn (2012). In the process, we propose a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479640
Despite the clear success of forecast combination in many economic environments, several important issues remain incompletely resolved. The issues relate to selection of the set of forecasts to combine, and whether some form of additional regularization (e.g., shrinkage) is desirable. Against...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480620