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Commitment is therefore more valuable when quality is known more precisely. Incentives then are easier to provide because the agent has less room to manipulate the beliefs of the principal. Moreover, in contrast to results under one-period commitment, wage volatility declines as experience...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462007
Current practice largely follows restrictive approaches to market risk measurement, such as historical simulation or … produce more accurate risk assessments, treating both portfolio-level and asset-level analysis. Asset-level analysis is … particularly challenging because the demands of real-world risk management in financial institutions - in particular, real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460575
It depends. If volatility fluctuates in a forecastable way, then volatility forecasts are useful for risk management …; hence the interest in volatility forecastability in the risk management literature. Volatility forecastability, however … volatility forecastability decays quickly with horizon. Volatility forecastability, although clearly of relevance for risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471968
This paper documents several facts on the real effects of economic uncertainty. First, higher uncertainty is associated with a more dispersed distribution of output growth. Second, the relation is highly asymmetric: A rise in uncertainty is associated with a sharp decline in the lower tail of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482243
We propose several connectedness measures built from pieces of variance decompositions, and we argue that they provide natural and insightful measures of connectedness among financial asset returns and volatilities. We also show that variance decompositions define weighted, directed networks, so...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461167
What do academics have to offer market risk management practitioners in financial institutions? Current industry … assessments of market risk. Clearly, the demands of real-world risk management in financial institutions -- in particular, real …-time risk tracking in very high-dimensional situations -- impose strict limits on model complexity. Hence we stress parsimonious …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467618
We analyze the contractual relation between workers and their employers when there is nominal risk. The key feature of … eliminate all nominal risk for the parties (by fully indexing the terms of the contracts to the price level) but they would be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473208
In a model with multiple Pareto-ranked equilibria we add trade in assets that pay based on the realization of a sunspot. Asset trading restricts the equilibrium set in a way that raises welfare by eliminating equilibria with a high likelihood of disasters. When the probability of a disaster is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457853
Volatility has been one of the most active areas of research in empirical finance and time series econometrics during the past decade. This chapter provides a unified continuous-time, frictionless, no-arbitrage framework for systematically categorizing the various volatility concepts,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469613
When a takeover is announced, the sum of the stock-market values of the firms involved often falls, and the value of the acquirer almost always does. Does this mean that takeovers do not raise the values of the firms involved? Not necessarily. We set up a model in which the equilibrium number of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469704