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We analyze the contractual relation between workers and their employers when there is nominal risk. The key feature of … eliminate all nominal risk for the parties (by fully indexing the terms of the contracts to the price level) but they would be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473208
Decisions take time, and the time taken to reach a decision is likely to be informative about the cost of more precise judgments. We formalize this insight in the context of a dynamic rational inattention (RI) model. Under standard conditions on the flow cost of information in our discrete-time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480359
Commitment is therefore more valuable when quality is known more precisely. Incentives then are easier to provide because the agent has less room to manipulate the beliefs of the principal. Moreover, in contrast to results under one-period commitment, wage volatility declines as experience...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462007
This paper documents several facts on the real effects of economic uncertainty. First, higher uncertainty is associated with a more dispersed distribution of output growth. Second, the relation is highly asymmetric: A rise in uncertainty is associated with a sharp decline in the lower tail of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482243
In a model with multiple Pareto-ranked equilibria we add trade in assets that pay based on the realization of a sunspot. Asset trading restricts the equilibrium set in a way that raises welfare by eliminating equilibria with a high likelihood of disasters. When the probability of a disaster is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457853
This paper considers the desirability of the observed tendency of central banks to adjust interest rates only gradually in response to changes in economic conditions. It shows, in the context of a simple model of optimizing private-sector behavior, that such inertial policy can be optimal. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471529
empirically realistic cases, robustness requires the central bank to "lean against" housing prices, i.e., to adopt a stance that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479356
complexity of memory measured using Shannon's mutual information, as in models of rational inattention; but our theory differs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479434
We propose a new approach to modeling the cost of information structures in rational inattention problems, the "neighborhood-based" cost functions. These cost functions have two properties that we view as desirable: they summarize the results of a sequential evidence accumulation problem, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480967
This paper reconsiders the degree to which macroeconomic stabilization is possible when the zero lower bound is a relevant constraint on the effectiveness of conventional monetary policy, under an assumption of bounded rationality. In particular, we reconsider the potential role of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481376