Showing 1 - 10 of 658
Uncertainty is a ubiquitous concern emphasized by policymakers. We study how uncertainty affects decision-making by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). We distinguish between the notion of Fed-managed uncertainty vis-a-vis uncertainty that emanates from within the economy and which the Fed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436980
The paper examines if real stock returns in four countries are consistent with consumption-based models of international asset pricing. The paper finds that ex-ante real stock returns exhibit statistically significant fluctuations over time and that these fluctuations cannot be explained by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476685
The paper illustrates how one may assess our comprehensive uncertainty about the various relations in the entire chain from human activity to climate change. Using a modified version of the RICE model of the global economy and climate, we perform Monte Carlo simulations, where full sets of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464221
A key criticism of the existing empirical literature on the risk-return relation relates to the relatively small amount …, measures of conditional mean and conditional volatility--and ultimately the risk-return relation itself--will be misspecified … that three new factors, a "volatility," "risk premium," and "real" factor, contain important information about one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467202
Investor confidence and risk tolerance are important concepts that investors are constantly trying to gauge. Yet these … changes in demand and fundamentals perceived by all investors, and a second that reflects changes in the relative risk … tolerance of institutional investors over and above that of domestics. The latter component, changes in relative risk tolerance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468537
This paper presents a dynamic model of a public pension fund's choice of portfolio risk. Optimal portfolio allocations … public pension fund management, we find evidence that funds chose greater overall asset - liability portfolio risk following …, pension plans take more risk when they have greater representation by plan participants on their Boards of Trustees …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462201
power for expected returns across a range of equity characteristic portfolios and non-equity asset classes, with risk price … estimates that are of the same sign and similar in magnitude. Positive exposure to capital share risk earns a positive risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457922
international capital flows that highlights the interplay between diminishing returns, production risk and sovereign risk. We show … that in the presence of reasonable diminishing returns and production risk, the probability that international crises occur …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470955
risk-sharing. General equilibrium models and consumption data tend to find that the costs are small, typically less than … higher variability of stocks, and/or (b) the higher degree of risk aversion required to reconcile an international equity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473454
Within the context of conditional asset allocation strategies, this paper explores the implications of the low correlations of the emerging market returns with developed market returns and the relatively high degree predictability of emerging countries' returns. It is well known that low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474311